It is a good response, and I've made the sort of blithe dismissal I tend to say is none too bright

. So, to answer the question:
Spurs and Arsenal have continuity, they finished 2-3 last year when the winner is out of the running, they've addressed their weaknesses to a considerable extent, have looked good so far overall and would be strong favorites if they didn't both have a history of not getting it done. Even so, I said before the season started they have the inside track and see no reason to change my mind. Liverpool have played the best football overall, perhaps, while Chelsea are clearly on the rebound and only a year removed from winning the title. I think it's a year too soon for Liverpool, and a year too late for Chelsea, but wouldn't call a win by either a shock. I'm not convinced by Man City and wasn't even when they were top of the league. I think they have too little quality defensively. I would also say that CIty, Chelsea and Man U would do very well to make a run at the title with a new manager. Actually winning it seems a step too far. Of the teams that I've mentioned, I do think Man U is the longest shot. I just don't see them as coherent enough this year, or able to score enough goals. Liverpool and City have gone on winning tears scoring freely, and I don't see Man U having the style to do that, even if they do have the players. I'd be surprised if they finished anything other than fourth or fifth, to tell you the truth. I can really see fourth, mostly because finishing out of the CL under Mourinho would make me happier than my sports juju tends to allow. Everton look like one of the safer bets for seventh in history, and so should finish sixth or fifth due to the collapse of one or two of the clubs mentioned earlier. Koeman is an excellent manager, but they specialize in flaky characters, with Barkley the flake in chief.