Relegation Watch

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Wigan now 1/5 on for the drop,we move out to 7/1.I expected Wigan to get a point and Sunderland to win.A point on Sunday will almost certainly be enough.It would not surprise me if an exhausted Wigan sustain significant GD damage at The Emirates.
 
After all this, if City, Newcastle and Sunderland don't lose on Sunday, then Arsenal can send Wigan down next Tuesday...right?
 
Cruyff's Turn said:
Wigan now 1/5 on for the drop,we move out to 7/1.I expected Wigan to get a point and Sunderland to win.A point on Sunday will almost certainly be enough.It would not surprise me if an exhausted Wigan sustain significant GD damage at The Emirates.
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It's not over yet. We need a result on Sunday
Also Wigan won at the emirates last season
U never know but I'm much happier tonight
 
Almost certainly now unless Villa can see off Chelsea they are going to Wigan knowing that they are not completely safe.Wigan will probably need all three points if indeed they are not already down.Lambert will do them.
 
I'm glad that chelsea and arsenal have got a lot to play for at this stage of the season, though obviously the games are no where near a foregone conclusion!

BUT i think spurs picking up a result tomorrow night would be handy <ok>
 
Current positions, games remaining and maximum and predicted points assuming Wigan lose to Arsenal and beat Villa. At least a draw against WBA is essential in that scenario.

12 41 pts &#8211; Stoke: Spurs(h) Southampton(h) (47-42)
13 40 pts &#8211; A.Villa: Chelsea(h) Wigan(a) (46-40)
14 39 pts &#8211; Southampton: Sunderland(a) Stoke(h) (45-41)
15 38 pts - Sunderland: Southampton(h) Spurs(a) (44-39)
16 38 pts &#8211; Norwich: WBA(h) ManCity(a) (44-39)
17 38 pts - Newcastle: QPR(a) Arsenal(h) (44-39)
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18 35 pts - Wigan: Arsenal(a) A.Villa(h) (41-38)
19 28 pts - Reading
20 25 pts - QPR
 
My own feeling is that Wigan may already be down after the Arsenal game.If we get a draw,Newcastle get a draw and Sunderland lose then an Arsenal win of any size will put it to bed for this season.Maybe this is a situation where on of Hughton's 0-0 draws is enough.To think that last year everyone was moaning about the lack of clean sheets.
 
Cruyff's Turn said:
My own feeling is that Wigan may already be down after the Arsenal game.If we get a draw,Newcastle get a draw and Sunderland lose then an Arsenal win of any size will put it to bed for this season.Maybe this is a situation where on of Hughton's 0-0 draws is enough.To think that last year everyone was moaning about the lack of clean sheets.
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sunderland could still finish 18th in that scenario - OK they'd need to lose 10-0 to Spurs!

thank god for swansea's win, i'm feeling much more positive now after the weekend's downer. there is no reason why we couldn't snatch a draw at the ethiad, esp if ruddy was back.
 
Expressed in percentage terms these are the chances of each team involved being relegated taken from currently quoted odds.Bear in mind odds represent PERCEPTIONS rather than out and out chances:

Wigan 70%

Norwich 14%

Newcastle 8%

Sunderland 5%

Southampton 1.25%

Villa 1%

Fulham 0.5%
 
Stoke fan here in total peace...
I guess you have looked at out fixtures? We play Spurs before Wigan play Arsenal. BOTH will need the pts. IF yep IF we get anything vs Spurs Arsenal will beat Wigan.
London rivalry at it's best! You get a pt vs Villa you will be fine anyway. <ok> IMO Newcastle have more chance of going down due to G/D.. they must win at QPR as they play the Gunners last game of the season... it's tight but you will be alright.
 
To Sum up:

If we win and villa lose to chelsea we are safe regardless of the wigan score.
If we get a point and wigan lose to arsenal we are safe regardless of the Villa score.
Wigan are relegated if Newcastle, Sunderland and ourselves better the wigan result.

Fingers crossed we are safe by 17:00 on Sunday.
 
Good that Spurs drew 2-2 at Chelsea tonight, who can secure their CL place if they win at Villa on Saturday. Similarly Spurs need a win at Stoke and Arsenal need to beat Wigan at the Emirates as they battle for the final CL place. In other words, they all have good motivation to win their matches, whereas ManCity have already qualified for the CL and have a Cup final as well as their final two matches. Spurs play Sunderland at home on the final day and Arsenal play at Newcastle. Hopefully Wigan will be down before that, but if not, it could help City.
 
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