It's informed by what we know publicly.
If you've got anything public that indicates it's all gone smooth as silk, now's the time.
This is exactly the issue here - 'anything that doesn't agree with me is guesswork'
A hundred and whatever days strongly suggests my guesswork is more likely than your guesswork.
The very first thing you said is guesswork, unless you're the appointed spokesman for our entire support.
"The reaction would be the same."
The rest is just your guesswork on how things have gone behind the scenes.
Things posted on forums aren't fact, just so you know.
Here's an example 'At which point looking at anyone else stopped. '