Just seen the BBC news report from Liverpool hospitals which is pretty scary. Liverpool seems to be in the worst position at the moment. The staff were begging for people to follow the rules. The positive test numbers might indeed be very misleading if they include non infectious people, and if these make up a large proportion of the total. But it is hard to deny that there is a rise in hospital admissions, and admissions to ICU and ultimately deaths as well, but the deaths aren’t actually what is driving the government response, it’s managing NHS capacity. The COVID patients admitted are genuinely sick, they need treating, along with all the other people with various debilitating and life threatening illnesses. They estimate that without action hospitals will be refusing to admit patients, no matter what they are ill with.
I suppose that the argument is that this projection is based on modelling including non infectious positive tests. Trouble is, we will never know who is right. If hospitals don’t reach capacity the pro lockdown people will claim the measures worked, and the anti lockdown fans will say the measures were never necessary. If hospitals do collapse the pro lockdown faction will say that we didn’t do enough early enough, and the anti lockdown people will say that lockdowns made no difference and we should have just soldiered on and protected the economy. Circular stuff.
), it's all a little close to home.
that we should have shut our borders.
