There is a lot of scaremongering about the treaty from both remain and leave. Its gathered enormous pace since Xmas. As is the norm with all things Brexit each side is twisting it to suit their needs. This treaty has been operational since 2009.
My personal opinion, regardless of Brexit, is The Lisbon Treaty needs re-examined (rather scrapped to be honest) as its no longer fit for purpose. The EU is in desperate need of reform as it has changed massively since 2009. To be fair the EU was aware this was coming as when it was signed they hoped and said it would be the last changes to the constitution until 2020. So they knew the landscape would change again, but perhaps didn't envisage the problems the EU is currently facing. Brexit is compounding that situation for the EU, our timing is not great.
If we listen to what Putin says about the EU, he sees that as the pawn in the battle between the worlds great superpowers in his eyes, China, Russia and the US. The EU will need to combat this and its one of the reasons people were looking so closely at whether Brexit was influenced. Brexit is right up Putins street. He wants them fragmented in the hope the economic sanctions will be lifted. He has his old allies France and Italy to help him out in this regard - Italy want them lifted and France has made similar efforts. Rejigging the treaty or creating its replacement to make it more fit for purpose can help prevent the fragmentation of the union.
I am staunchly against the remoaners and their anti democratic approach. However on this particular subject, the leavers are far worse for what they are presenting as fact. I've seen some weird and wonderful suggestions but some headliners which entertained me were:
- We lose our veto in 2020 - we don't
- The Treaty comes into force in 2020 - it doesn't, its been in force since 2009
- We become one federal state in 2022 - this is not stated anywhere in the Treaty of Lisbon
- We must join the Euro by 2022 - The treaty does reference the ultimate goal of “the euro becoming the currency of all Member States of the Union”, but that doesn’t override the UK’s opt out, and it does not set a time limit on that goal.
- We hand over our army and nuclear deterrent to the EU -
I mean I know the EU army has some support but this is just a nuts assertion