Off Topic YOUR VOTE COUNTED...

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ON 23rd of June which way are you going to vote?.

  • IN

    Votes: 28 43.8%

  • OUT

    Votes: 34 53.1%

  • DON'T KNOW

    Votes: 4 6.3%
  • Total voters
    64
  • Poll closed .
On the issue of betting:

In general (not just this referendum) , in a two way contest, if an outcome is genuinely 50-50 (as it appears in this case and no one knows for sure who will win), if you are given odds of 3 to 1 for one outcome and 1 to 4 for the other, what is stopping anyone on betting on the 3 to 1? Sure the bookies may have had huge bets on Remain and therefore they will put up odds to reflect that and maximise profits or minimise loss. But for the ordinary punter, is it not an opportunity to quadruple their money on a 50-50 situation?

Am I missing something here?

AND:

Is it not like one of those Championship playoff finals where any of two equally matched sides on their day can win? and if one of the sides was given odds of 3 to 1 wouldn't you take it?
 
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DirtyFrank said:
AhhhHHHHHH..the Guardian..yeah that's not a group hug intellectual elite of the kind I included. You'll be posting the article by Toynbee where she was horrified at the grunting of the great unwashed when she went out to talk to them for the first time in her life a week or so back...
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Doesn't matter where it comes from if it makes sense. So it's about reading it and seeing whether or not you agree, not dismissing it because of its source.
The article goes a bit far towards the end, but it's perfectly correct, imo, that a vote to leave is a push to the right.
As if we needed one.
 
guys it is too close to the date to have an accurate poll... usually 2 weeks out is the most accurate poll. I think if you look back at about the 10th or 11th... that would be most accurate
..


I think we should jus tlook at the trade thing again

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my american associates are as anti trade agreements as europeans.
 
Diego said:
So if we leave the EU they will stop trading with us, that will mean the loss of millions of pounds to the German, French, Italian and Spanish car industries (good for Japan and Korea though, they may even build more manufacturing plants here), Italy sell millions of pounds worth of White goods into Britain not to mention plastic and rubber manufacturing machinery such as intermixes and extruders (we may have to start making these things ourselves again like we used to).
It will be interesting to see how these country's explain to companies like BMW, VW, Mercedes, Fiat etc that they may have to shut some of their plants or lose quite a proportion of staff because they don't trade with us anymore.
Yes it could work both ways but in reality little will change because it makes no financial sense.
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Who said that?
 
DirtyFrank said:
AhhhHHHHHH..the Guardian..yeah that's not a group hug intellectual elite of the kind I included. You'll be posting the article by Toynbee where she was horrified at the grunting of the great unwashed when she went out to talk to them for the first time in her life a week or so back...
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AHHHHHHHHHHHH ..the Mail and the Sun, both of whom take your 'Stick one to the Establishment' line. Like buying a Cliff Richard record during the Punk era to worry your parents.
 
moreinjuredthanowen said:
guys it is too close to the date to have an accurate poll... usually 2 weeks out is the most accurate poll. I think if you look back at about the 10th or 11th... that would be most accurate
..


I think we should jus tlook at the trade thing again

You must log in or register to see images


my american associates are as anti trade agreements as europeans.
Click to expand...


I read that this referemdum (like most referendums) will be decided by the 10% undecideds who will make their decision in the last 24 hours.
 
carlthejackal said:
Sure. Why is there a 76% chance of a Remain (according to Ladbrokes) when it could be anything from 50% +/- 3% ???
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Brian Curtice, who has a ****ing exemplary track record. was on Newsnight last night and says it's 55/45 towards Remain AT BEST. I stil think it'll be 55/45 Brexit.
 
donga blokhin said:
Brian Curtice, who has a ****ing exemplary track record. was on Newsnight last night an says it's 55/45 towards Remain AT BEST. I stil think it'll be 55/45 Brexit.
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I hope you are wrong.

I predict it will be 50.01% Remain. That will feel like a CL final winner 3rd minute of injury time !!!!!
 
moreinjuredthanowen said:
guys it is too close to the date to have an accurate poll... usually 2 weeks out is the most accurate poll. I think if you look back at about the 10th or 11th... that would be most accurate
..


I think we should jus tlook at the trade thing again

You must log in or register to see images


my american associates are as anti trade agreements as europeans.
Click to expand...

TTIP is worrying, but get this straight IT DOESN'T mean privatisation of the NHS - no more than if the government of the day allows it. The railways is a better example - the train operating companies, when they come up for franchise renewal, would be open to US bids. The same with any parts of the NHS that are already run by private franchises. But the government of the day has total power over what is and isn't privatised.

So remember that - if Boris, IDSS, Gove-adder or Farright are ever in power and have signed a TTIP agreement then bluster that they can't help but privatise the NHS then it's bullshit, and it has more to do with the fact that all of them have, at some stage, supported various measures of privatising the NHS whole or in part.
 
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