Put some data into Ai and compared last season to current-
Comparing Hull City’s shooting stats and xG from last season (2023/24) with the current season (2024/25), it becomes clearer that their finishing efficiency has dropped, which is affecting their overall goal-scoring output.
Shots per Match
• 2023/24: 10.54 overall (11.43 at home, 9.65 away)
• 2024/25: 10.53 overall (10 at home, 11.14 away)
Observation: Hull City is taking almost the same number of shots per match in both seasons. The shot volume hasn’t changed significantly.
Shots on Target per Match
• 2023/24: 5.96 overall (6.04 at home, 5.87 away)
• 2024/25: 4.53 overall (4.38 at home, 4.71 away)
Observation: Shots on target have dropped from nearly 6 per match last season to 4.53 this season. This reduction in accurate shooting suggests that Hull City is struggling with accuracy, leading to fewer quality chances.
Shots Conversion Rate
• 2023/24: 14% overall (13% at home, 15% away)
• 2024/25: 10% overall (10% at home, 10% away)
Observation: The conversion rate has dropped from 14% to 10%, indicating less efficiency in finishing. Hull City is taking more shots to score each goal, reflecting a decline in finishing quality.
Shots per Goal Scored
• 2023/24: 7.13 shots per goal (7.51 at home, 6.73 away)
• 2024/25: 9.88 shots per goal (10 at home, 9.75 away)
Observation: Hull City now requires nearly 10 shots to score one goal, up from 7.13 last season. This inefficiency is a clear indication of scoring struggles, as they’re converting fewer chances into goals.
Shots on Target per Goal Scored
• 2023/24: 4.03 shots on target per goal (3.97 at home, 4.09 away)
• 2024/25: 4.25 shots on target per goal (4.38 at home, 4.13 away)
Observation: They need slightly more on-target shots to score a goal this season, showing that even when they hit the target, they’re not finding the net as frequently.
Expected Goals (xG)
• 2023/24: 1.42 xG per match overall (1.53 at home, 1.3 away)
• 2024/25: 1.34 xG per match overall (1.31 at home, 1.38 away)
Observation: xG has dropped slightly, which suggests a small reduction in the quality of chances created. However, the difference isn’t large enough to explain the significant drop in goals scored—meaning the issue is more about finishing rather than chance creation.
xG Against
• 2023/24: 1.33 xG Against per match overall (1.18 at home, 1.48 away)
• 2024/25: 1.4 xG Against per match overall (1.29 at home, 1.52 away)
Observation: xG Against is only slightly higher this season, so the defense is relatively stable. The primary issue remains on the offensive side.
Summary
The stats reveal that Hull City’s main issue this season is not generating fewer chances but rather converting them. Key takeaways include:
• Lower Shot Accuracy: Shots on target have decreased, indicating that Hull City is less accurate in their shooting.
• Declined Finishing Efficiency: Their shots conversion rate has dropped, requiring more attempts to score each goal.
• Finishing Underperformance: Their actual goals scored are below the expected goals (xG), showing that they’re underperforming in finishing relative to the quality of chances created.
Conclusion
Hull City’s primary issue this season is ineffective finishing. They’re creating chances at a similar rate to last season, but they’re less accurate and less efficient in front of goal. Improving shot accuracy and conversion should be their focus, as addressing this could lead to significantly better results without needing drastic changes to their overall playstyle.
