Will we make top 6?

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Mike_Holmes1990 said:
It doesn't. But it shows how far off the actual pace we are.

Oxford is only need to make up 21 points in 18 games. While we only have 17 games to get 29.

Ultimately it's a sport, anything can happen until it's mathematically impossible, but it feels like too many teams have a better chance at reaching 70 points than us at the moment, and if they get there before us, our target points total only gets bigger.

Hate being pessimistic so I'll agree it's still possible and we can only control our own form.
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The reason it’s possible is that there are six sides in those places and we can expect any one or two of those sides to go on a bad run and to fall off the pace. Oxford may well make it but Sunderland may not. Ultimately it’s about whether we can hit the points mark. If we do then we should make the top six. On today’s evidence we won’t, however we will know a lot more about our chances in a couple of weeks from now. We’ve got six games we can drop points in and the more games we win now the more we can drop later in the season and vice versa. Doncaster and Gillingham are must wins. Beat MK Dons and Rotherham and it’s entirely feasible. Lose them both and I’m afraid it’s curtains.
 
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Buckyohare said:
I don’t think we’ll make the play offs. It’s a big points per game needed. About 2.3 and I think that’s beyond this group of players.
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Gillingham and Doncaster we should and must win. Then it’s fair to say that having lost to Sheffield Wednesday we need to win against MK Dons. If we can’t do that we don’t deserve that play off spot.

That would leave us needing about 25 more points from a remaining 16 games and with momentum on our side, which is entirely doable.

For me, this little period of games is absolutely critical to our chances.
 
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Its quoted our points projections figures for L1 is 84 points for 6th spot. I’m trying to find a source. Thats really high and well above average (74ish) so we do have a lot to do. But I maintain we can win the next 7. If we beat Wigan and Bolton lose to them (around the same time) that could be a 6 pointer…

my worry is we don’t have David Johnson anymore so finding a reliable source of goals game to game is the issue.

hkwever we’ve seriously tightened up at the back from PC who had us leaking like a sieve. We’ve barely conceded any in the last few games from recollection.

it’s gonna be a rollercoaster ride if we do keep winning over the next few games to keep us in the race…
 
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