Agree with all you said. Barry Geraghty is likely to replace him as jockey for JP McManus IMO.
Not so sure about Geraghty for the JP job london_man - he has horses all over the bloody place and you see McCoy carrying his silks at all the big meetings but also at Carlisle or Southwell on a Tuesday, which I don't think would be Geraghty's cup of tea at all. There are certainly going to be 2 very attractive jobs going next season - retained jockey for JP and stable jockey to Jonjo