Nice to have a new thread starter Jeff so good on ya!
Right, down to business:
3.00 Newmarket: GIOFRA 10/1 (NAP) Golden Lilac's paper form is so strong that you can understand the short price but I think when you peer deeper into it there are enough bits of doubt to make you consider another French filly in this scenario. Yes she beat Cirrus Des Aigles last time out but the close proximity of Planteur, who was so easily put in his place by So You Think and Carlton Houseat Ascot, makes you wonder whether the CDA ran to his best that day. I am inclined to say no.
GIOFRA let Cirrus Des Aigles dictate the race easily when the met and I think a 9L defeat is an exaggeration of his talents. He was fit from a super win in Meydan over St Nicholas Abbey, also. I prefer tojudge Giofra on her very clear-cut win over the talented VADAMAR, seen below:
[video=youtube;9eKW-E08Gns]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eKW-E08Gns[/video]
I have her down as definite top 2 rated in todays field and as such she rates a stone wall value bet e/w on my logic. Of course, that logic may be way off and that is what opinions are about. I also think soft ground plays to her stamina, which canot be said for most of the British/Irish field today, including Maybe.
Neither of these mighty French trainers come to Newmarket for the fun of it, and it will be a realteresting head to head having seen Giofra skip the Eclipse in favour of this.