Off Topic EU deabte. Which way are you voting ?

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How will you vote in the EU referendum ?

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"And, incidentally, the reason meteorologists predict night to follow day but won't predict for how long is because the former is
blindingly bleeding obvious while the latter is not."

<fixed>

I am here all day (me and George Soros have hedged eachother on when you will finally get it -
I have gone "long" ) .
 
The RDBD said:
"And, incidentally, the reason meteorologists predict night to follow day but won't predict for how long is because the former is
blindingly bleeding obvious while the latter is not."

<fixed>

I am here all day (me and George Soros have hedged eachother on when you will finally get it -
I have gone "long" ) .
Click to expand...

Night follows day, just as recession follows Brexit!....
 
An old article but an entertaining read.

Note that it's written by someone with no agenda, unlike the pro-Leave articles which tend to be written by the official economic adviser to the Leave campaign or Nigel's brother.

Countries usually don’t knowingly commit economic suicide, but in Britain, millions seem ready to give it a try. On June 23, the United Kingdom will vote to decide whether to quit the European Union, the 28-nation economic bloc with a population of 508 million and a gross domestic product of almost $17 trillion. Let’s not be coy: Leaving the E.U. would be an act of national insanity.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...8d7a4a-0e1f-11e6-bfa1-4efa856caf2a_story.html
 
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Sir Stan said:
An old article but an entertaining read.

Note that it's written by someone with no agenda, unlike the pro-Leave articles which tend to be written by the official economic adviser to the Leave campaign or Nigel's brother.

Countries usually don’t knowingly commit economic suicide, but in Britain, millions seem ready to give it a try. On June 23, the United Kingdom will vote to decide whether to quit the European Union, the 28-nation economic bloc with a population of 508 million and a gross domestic product of almost $17 trillion. Let’s not be coy: Leaving the E.U. would be an act of national insanity.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...8d7a4a-0e1f-11e6-bfa1-4efa856caf2a_story.html
Click to expand...

Everyone has an agenda.

Just a reminder that we have a massive trade deficit with the EU. In other words, we pay them far more than they pay us.
 
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Why Experts are Almost Always Wrong
No one, not even the experts, really knows what's about to happen

Blogger Eric Barker points out that political experts’ predictions are only slightly better than a random guess, and way worse than a statistical model. In fact, so called experts were better at predicting events outside their own field. Barker points to a study from the 1980′s, when Philip Tetlock had 284 political “experts” make about a hundred predictions. The study is summarized in the book Everything Is Obvious* Once You Know the Answer:

For each of these predictions, Tetlock insisted that the experts specify which of two outcomes they expected and also assign a probability to their prediction. He did so in a way that confident predictions scored more points when correct, but also lost more points when mistaken. With those predictions in hand, he then sat back and waited for the events themselves to play out. Twenty years later, he published his results, and what he found was striking: Although the experts performed slightly better than random guessing, they did not perform as well as even a minimally sophisticated statistical model. Even more surprisingly, the experts did slightly better when operating outside their area of expertise than within it.
Click to expand...

Read more: http://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart...ost-always-wrong-9997024/#UIYxTF2W2ZOYqb0I.99
 
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