1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Bluesky's multiple experiment

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Bluesky9, Nov 12, 2011.

  1. NTD is the man

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2011
    Messages:
    194
    Likes Received:
    0
    think youve got a good chance of collecting today blue gl
     
    #41
  2. NTD is the man

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2011
    Messages:
    194
    Likes Received:
    0
    Nice double blue nice that barenger drifted for you too out to 5/2 unlucky with arab league aswell he ran a good race finishing placed
     
    #42
  3. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    Mussleburgh 2.55
    Amazing Star 13-8 unplaced
    Doncaster 3.05
    Beneficial Reform 15-8 won
    Newbury
    3.50 Mono Man 11-10 3rd
    All best odds guaranteed
    £10 win trixi & £10 win treble
    Stake £50
    Return £0
    Running total + £471.37
     
    #43
  4. NTD is the man

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2011
    Messages:
    194
    Likes Received:
    0
    gl bluesky surprised youve gone with the last at newbury looks quite competative to my eye , but well done yesterday hope you do well today
     
    #44
  5. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2011
    Messages:
    8,540
    Likes Received:
    199
    gl bluesky
     
    #45
  6. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    Thanks for the good wishes guys, from a fantastic week last week to a disappointing one this week. I am still keeping the faith as i really do believe in this bet.

    Week 2 Stats
    21 selections
    Winners = 5, 2nd place = 3, 3rd place = 6, unplaced = 7

    1 winning day
    6 losing days

    Balance of Multipl bets £267 loss
    Balance of hypothetical Singles £88 loss

    Running total after two weeks
    Multiple bets £471 Profit 47 points up
    Single bets £ 204 Profit 20 points up
     
    #46
  7. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    Newcastle
    1.10 Allthekingshorses 6-4 unplaced
    Newbury
    Empire Levent 5-2 2nd
    Towcester
    2.40 Valid Point evns won 6-5
    All best odds guaranteed

    £10 win trixi & £10 win treble
    Stake £50
    Return £0
    Running total + £ 421
     
    #47
  8. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    Leicester
    1.05 Castletown Bridge 10-11 2nd
    3.45 Trop Fort 9-4 unplaced
    Carlisle
    12.50 Avenging Ace 10-11 unplaced
    All best odds guaranteed
    £10 win trixi & £10 win treble
    Stake £50
    Return £0
    Running total + £371
     
    #48
  9. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    <doh> Still pretty good though Blue.
     
    #49
  10. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    FfOS Las
    1.15 Super Directa Evns won
    2.55 Azione 11-10 2nd
    3.30 Kilcommon Pride 5-4 3rd
    All best odds Guaranteed
    £10 win Trixi & £10 win Treble
    Stake £50
    Return £0
    Running total + £321
     
    #50

  11. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2011
    Messages:
    1,939
    Likes Received:
    430
    Fancy your first two a bit Blue.
     
    #51
  12. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    I fancy your chances today Blue.
     
    #52
  13. antidistinctlyminty (ADM)

    Joined:
    May 26, 2011
    Messages:
    1,156
    Likes Received:
    7
    just watched azione in the last at ffos las - camera angle changed and he seemed to just suddenly vanish as he went to the far side of the track
     
    #53
  14. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    To be fair it's poor conditions for this bet at the moment. I would fancy it to show better in the summer with lots of flat racing to choose from. I think it's fair to say that it's value has not been proved either way as it is showing up with lots of days without any return but at the same time the bet is in profit and also further up than singles on the same selections would be.

    I am not sure whether to extend it into December or trial it again come the flat. If someone else would fancy providing the selections for a week then i would be happy for that, after all it is a trial of a particular bet rather than my personal ability to find winners. Let me know if you fancy a go for the first 7 days of December.
     
    #54
  15. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    There is certainly something to be said about restricting bets to certain times of the year, certainly on the flat. Timeform always used to suggest that it was risky betting in April/May as form is less reliable then. Not sure about NH.
     
    #55
  16. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    How about you run a "Bluesky's Multiple Competition for December. Entrants must pick 3 selections (ie as per your system) each day and maybe allowed no selections some days with a minimum of x betting days in the month, or whatever rules you decide. If you, or someone else runs the comp., I'll enter.
     
    #56
  17. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,300
    Likes Received:
    10,385
    I think the bet in itself is a good one, but forcing yourself to do it every day is certainly challenging
     
    #57
  18. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    Agreed Oddy. A single bet could be spread over several days thus being able to be more selective.
     
    #58
  19. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    I agree Oddy, there were days when i did not think it worth going for it but part of me wanted to take as much objectivity out of it as i could so that in theory it could work as a system. It was not about saying look i can pick a winner but really saying look here is a formula that will make money, and the formula is this, pick 3 horses each day between evs and 5-2 place them in this bet and it will come in enough to make money each and every month (i still think it will). The only objectivity required is choosing from the range of horses that come into the price catagory.

    I wanted to see two things, could it make money and also could it beat backing the same horses as singles. We are actually doing both but i have been disappointed to have collected so little this last week as i think it should have come in with at least a couple more doubles. I am not sure if we were lucky the first week or unlucky the second. I think i will keep it going for a while to see what happens.
     
    #59
  20. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,090
    Likes Received:
    23,057
    <ok> I'd forgotten that Blue. Sorry. Still it has also unearthed what might be a decent staking plan for horses chosen on a more selective basis.
     
    #60

Share This Page