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Off Topic Afcftw Mafia Game

Discussion in 'Liverpool' started by afcftw, Jun 9, 2015.

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  1. Sir Tennisball

    Sir Tennisball Well-Known Member

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    I can't wait to find out what the real story is with mito and valley. Valley's first reveal was correct about Tobes so for now I'll assume his second one is correct too and vote Mito.

    I am wary of speculating too much about the hidden powers, we have no idea what they are, but killing mito should tell us if the mafia power is to force someone to kill (ie mito killing ibwt), or not. If mito is innocent then it means not only was he forced to kill ibwt, but valley's investigations were tampered with, unless valley is a bad guy which is unlikely at this stage.

    One thing that did occur to me. We know mafia numbers were low at the start of the game. What if one or two of the town roles were mafia aligned, either from the start or after a certain action? Selfishly I'll propose what if they kill an innocent? <laugh> would be very sneaky of afc though...

    Afcftw, i know you don't give out much info but could you give us the overall picture of town vs mafia vs cartel (& vs serial killer once he activates) in your daily updates please? It will tell us exactly what numbers the mafia have, in case there are more than two...

    One other thing, i know everyone is running around speculating who could be mafia etc. you need to look at what is KNOWN, focus on that first. I've defended myself enough, i won't go into that again, you know where i stand. But we KNOW tobes is mafia now, so look back at the voting. Who tried to deflect attention or only voted for him at the end when it was certain he was going?

    If you look back after valley revealed, i was the first one to jump on and say we need to lynch the definite bad guy, and voted or him. This was BEFORE mito claimed i was mafia, so i was not under suspicion at all... Not exactly mafia like actions to say kill a mafia member, although i was hoping he was cartel. Just think carefully guys...
     
    #1481
  2. Brian Storm

    Brian Storm Well-Known Member

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    @afcftw could we have a vote count please.
     
    #1482
  3. Brian Storm

    Brian Storm Well-Known Member

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    Oh, and good morning campers.
     
    #1483
  4. Sir Tennisball

    Sir Tennisball Well-Known Member

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    I'm going to go update all my notes again, ffs this takes ages, I stopped on page 41 and we're up to pg 75 already.

    After that I'll post my thoughts on the current situation, it's obviously changed things up quite a bit with Valley saying mito is non-town now. I was leaning towards mito being town up to that point. Will probably take a couple of hours again.
     
    #1484
  5. Brian Storm

    Brian Storm Well-Known Member

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    I'm behind too. I have strong suspicions on the last two mafia members. Just going to watch how they go on today.
     
    #1485
  6. afcftw

    afcftw Well-Known Member

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    Morning vote table:

    Mito (6): Valley, ACS, Swarbs, Funky, Bodanki, Sir tennisball
    Bodanki (2): Mito, Lucaaas
    Sir tennisball (3): BobbyD, Less Hope than Neville, Sebbs campaign manager

    Yet to vote: Mikey, 666 Tash 666, Rolando, Nobbertos salsa inferno
     
    #1486
  7. Nolberto's Salsa Inferno

    Nolberto's Salsa Inferno Well-Known Member

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    Sir tennis ball

    (
    Thought I had voted again..does the name have to isolated? )
     
    #1487
  8. Swarbs

    Swarbs Well-Known Member
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    Ok, have only read the last page or so (how the **** do we get ten more pages in the middle of the night?!)

    But with Nobby having said he is not the PI, that does create some worry. So I'm going to fall back on my true and tested method of abdicating all responsibility and following Valley. Also it creates a nice tie to see what that shakes look.

    I vote Sir Tennisball
     
    #1488
  9. Swarbs

    Swarbs Well-Known Member
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    Therefore vote table:

    Morning vote table:

    Mito (5): Valley, ACS, Funky, Bodanki, Sir tennisball
    Bodanki (2): Mito, Lucaaas
    Sir tennisball (5): BobbyD, Less Hope than Neville, Sebbs campaign manager, Nobbertos salsa inferno, Swarbs

    Yet to vote: Mikey, 666 Tash 666, Rolando

    I'd propose we leave it like that for a while and see who says and does what.
     
    #1489
  10. afcftw

    afcftw Well-Known Member

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    Sorry was rather quick checking votes as I'm about to head out to work! Swarbs table above is accurate.
     
    #1490

  11. Nolberto's Salsa Inferno

    Nolberto's Salsa Inferno Well-Known Member

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    My sort of plan
     
    #1491
  12. Bodinki

    Bodinki You're welcome
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    haha, this is shaping up to be an interesting day.
     
    #1492
  13. Swarbs

    Swarbs Well-Known Member
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    please log in to view this image


    #bringbackmito
     
    #1493
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  14. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    what do you guys want me to do with my vote?

    I am not on tennis now but that leaves the possibility open in your collective minds that i will switch. I don't want that kind of doubt.

    I'd rather it be a 6v6 tie and you all look and see if nobody flinches.
     
    #1494
  15. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    i want to say again. I am the town drunk. I'll still be saying it all day as its a fact.
     
    #1495
  16. Red Hadron Collider

    Red Hadron Collider The Hammerhead

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  17. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    now I want to show the logic i am applying and it might hel the town afterwards if nothing else


    Question: why did valley report non town on me when I know I am town drunk


    Evidence:

    night one result Post 574: http://www.not606.com/threads/afcftw-mafia-game.303261/page-29#post-8023920

    “An investigation last night and Tobes was identified as not being a member of the Town.

    The poster who kept changing votes in the last few moments was seen running away with a bloodied knife in his hand near IBWTs sliced and diced body. This person is a Liverpool MOD.”


    Night 2 result: post 1242 http://www.not606.com/threads/afcftw-mafia-game.303261/page-63#post-8026989

    “My investigation reveals MITO to be NON TOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Therefore I vote the lying twat MITO.”


    Rules: “Psychic - the psychic spends his time studying the mystic and is able to read the aura of other town members. The psychic can choose to investigate one person each night but will only receive a town, or non-town read.”


    Obviously the evidence nobody can believe is that I am town drunk

    Any other real facts out there?

    Theories:

    1. Valley is mafia and has really pulled a stunt.

    2. Valley is the psychic and got a bad result

    3. Valley is the psychic and was deliberately fed wrong info


    Any other possibilities?


    Suppositions?

    1. valley is mafia.. don’t dismiss it out of hand.… why? The tobes factor. Why lynch tobes so obviously on one hand but why did tobes court votes in the end? why did he go out of his way yesterday to go for in his words "the full house" is there a big reward in it for mafia? It seems unlikely but not impossible.

    2. A bad result? The rules don’t show why he would get one. I’m the one with the 2/3rds chance not him. The rules don’t say he is a bad psychic

    3. Valley got deliberately fed bad info. Night one he got tobes right. He was not known to the town at that point. Night 2 he gets bad info and is known to town. Everyone knew he was investigating me. It does add up that some party fed him bad info in this case.


    Of the 3 options i thought of number 3 is most likely to my mind and 2 is least likely from the rules. Option 1 is scary but there could be something going on.

    If we say ok.... we know everything thinks valley is the psychic... everyone knew he was investigating me... if there is someone with hidden power that is mafia are serial killer or cartel or even obi whi is not town aligned either... it would be very simple to feed him a bit of wrong info and get me killed.

    That is a nice convenient story no? I know at least half will just not believe anything i say but those of you keeping open minds i hope this helps.



    now i have to move onto more contentious issues. I want to separate my theories from the next point as I want to help the town and leave it for your thinking.

    My thought next is; I was not revealed until after day 1. I found sir tennis was mafia. i know it is only 2/3rd chance of being right BUT... probably its not influenced as i was not revealed. I still have confidence in it despite the nice stuff tennis is saying.

    As a result i once again volunteer. If it is a tie vote fine let it be a tie, but if people are leaning towards the risk i'm actually telling the truth (which i am and grateful not all just thought i'm a complete bullshitter) then if you are killing sir tennis I want the meth head to kill me tonight too.

    I am the town drunk but if such a flipping rule exists my data will be very hard to trust anyway and if tennis is found innocent you'll all waste yet another day killing me by lynch
     
    #1497
  18. Brian Storm

    Brian Storm Well-Known Member

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    No <laugh>
     
    #1498
  19. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    what do you think i should do with my vote?

    as it stands I can be accused of just waiting to switch and kill sir tennis. I'd rather eliminate that possibility now then both me and sir tennis are on each other and no such tricks can occur.






    @ValleyGraduate12 what do you want me to do with my vote too.
     
    #1499
  20. Bodinki

    Bodinki You're welcome
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    You read my mind, was going to suggest the same thing.
    Sir Tennis
     
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