2.20 Dundalk
Prescient 7/1
Once again, I am back to the Orafinitis debut run as I think it has proved to be an absolutely fantastic race for form. Frank Dunneâs trained three year old runs from this race, and is the one I have been very interested to see out again. Last year, Prescient was making her debut in July and ran what has turned out to be a fantastic 1.75L 3rd to Irish 1,000 Guineas winner in Misty for Me (120) and 0.5L behind Katla, who is now rated 99 and has beaten Barefoot Lady by 6L back in October. Added to this, Prescient finished 1.75L clear of the now 94 rated Why. Also finishing behind Prescient that day were subsequent winners Orafinitis in 5th and Tell the Wind 8th, with the latter finishing 4.75L behind tomorrows selection and who is now rated 90 and winner of 76 and placed off 93.
Prescient, a 170,000 gns purchase who is well bred, has only had 2 other starts to date. The first came 15 days later last August where Prescient was well supported that day to go off 2/1 Fav. However, Prescient did not run to the same standard as witnessed on debut finishing a disappointing 5th and nearly 10L behind Katla, who also finished in front on debut. It could be that this run came too soon for Prescient after debut, or else she may have had a problem which is possible considering her very lengthy absence. However, this filly is clearly very well thought of at home.
After a 10 month absence Prescient made her reappearance run at the Curragh over 6f. However, she was quite disappointing and finished 6.5L 6th behind Coprah. After racing prominently, Prescient faded badly in the last 1.5 furlongs and looked well beaten with 2f to go. The form of the race isnât terrible either, with Vastitas who finished 3.75L in front of todays selection winning by 6L off the same mark of 82. Despite my strong opinion this run should be discounted, if Prescient ran to a similar level today she could very well win in what looks a poor race.
Prescient makes her handicap debut off a mark of 74, and if you look take her debut performance into account she appears very well handicapped. She steps back down to 5f and maker her AW debut tomorrow, and although the surface is an unknown for her, I think she could act nicely on the surface. Her small trainer Frank Dunne has been in pretty good form this year. From his 5 runners, he has had 1 winner, and 3 placed efforts, with Prescientâs reappearance his only occasion outside of the money. Dunne has only had 1 venture to the AW in the last 5 years which resulted in a 2nd place finish.
All in all, I think Prescient has a really really good chance. The form of the first race is excellent and I think there are significant reasons to disregard this fillyâs 2nd and 3rd outings. Horses have a big scope for improvement between 2 and 3 yrs. The 50-80 handicap tomorrow is a fairly poor affair, with the vast majority of horses exposed. I can see the main dangers coming from Ger Lyons LTO winner Red Army Blues and David Marnaneâs winner off a 1lb lower mark by 2L over C+D being the main threats. However, not only being the most unexposed, Prescient has shown the best form in this race and if she takes to the surface and performs to her abilities I think she can win this easily.
Prescient 7/1
Once again, I am back to the Orafinitis debut run as I think it has proved to be an absolutely fantastic race for form. Frank Dunneâs trained three year old runs from this race, and is the one I have been very interested to see out again. Last year, Prescient was making her debut in July and ran what has turned out to be a fantastic 1.75L 3rd to Irish 1,000 Guineas winner in Misty for Me (120) and 0.5L behind Katla, who is now rated 99 and has beaten Barefoot Lady by 6L back in October. Added to this, Prescient finished 1.75L clear of the now 94 rated Why. Also finishing behind Prescient that day were subsequent winners Orafinitis in 5th and Tell the Wind 8th, with the latter finishing 4.75L behind tomorrows selection and who is now rated 90 and winner of 76 and placed off 93.
Prescient, a 170,000 gns purchase who is well bred, has only had 2 other starts to date. The first came 15 days later last August where Prescient was well supported that day to go off 2/1 Fav. However, Prescient did not run to the same standard as witnessed on debut finishing a disappointing 5th and nearly 10L behind Katla, who also finished in front on debut. It could be that this run came too soon for Prescient after debut, or else she may have had a problem which is possible considering her very lengthy absence. However, this filly is clearly very well thought of at home.
After a 10 month absence Prescient made her reappearance run at the Curragh over 6f. However, she was quite disappointing and finished 6.5L 6th behind Coprah. After racing prominently, Prescient faded badly in the last 1.5 furlongs and looked well beaten with 2f to go. The form of the race isnât terrible either, with Vastitas who finished 3.75L in front of todays selection winning by 6L off the same mark of 82. Despite my strong opinion this run should be discounted, if Prescient ran to a similar level today she could very well win in what looks a poor race.
Prescient makes her handicap debut off a mark of 74, and if you look take her debut performance into account she appears very well handicapped. She steps back down to 5f and maker her AW debut tomorrow, and although the surface is an unknown for her, I think she could act nicely on the surface. Her small trainer Frank Dunne has been in pretty good form this year. From his 5 runners, he has had 1 winner, and 3 placed efforts, with Prescientâs reappearance his only occasion outside of the money. Dunne has only had 1 venture to the AW in the last 5 years which resulted in a 2nd place finish.
All in all, I think Prescient has a really really good chance. The form of the first race is excellent and I think there are significant reasons to disregard this fillyâs 2nd and 3rd outings. Horses have a big scope for improvement between 2 and 3 yrs. The 50-80 handicap tomorrow is a fairly poor affair, with the vast majority of horses exposed. I can see the main dangers coming from Ger Lyons LTO winner Red Army Blues and David Marnaneâs winner off a 1lb lower mark by 2L over C+D being the main threats. However, not only being the most unexposed, Prescient has shown the best form in this race and if she takes to the surface and performs to her abilities I think she can win this easily.
)He also played 15 games in State of Origin and pulled on an Australian jumper on 7 occasions. He was a wonderful payer.
