In terms of probability/likelihood, we could still go down, but it is just as likely (actually probably more likely) that the teams above us, up to and including West Ham, could all lose and we would finish 10th. In all honesty, I can't see West Ham losing to Reading, but it could be Nigel's last gift to us. If we beat Stoke, Newcastle will need to beat Arsenal, who still need to win their games to finish above Spurs in the top four and get Champions League next season. Our loss to Spurs could be a masterstroke of keeping teams interested until the final whistle next week.

