Sunday 12th May Racing Thread

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Oddy, Been tryin' me Mae West. Keep me nut daahhhn and daan't cheer if we Bobby Moore.

What do you think of Peslier rejecting the ride on Intello. We'll all look silly if he hacks up on the stablemate. I'm yet to have a play on the race for that very reason.
 
Looking forward to how Estorique (or is it L'Estorique) gets on in the French 1000. It's clear the yard think she is Special.
 
GGW said:
Looking forward to how Estorique (or is it L'Estorique) gets on in the French 1000. It's clear the yard think she is Special.
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Watched one of her races on youtube and wasnt impressed really..took a while to pick up and they were closing fast on her. She has a good draw here though.
 
mornin all-- today is pure jumping -- some fresh horses, some that never seem to stop, and plenty of deadwood plodding around -- i am going to focus on paul webber's Citrus Mark in the 4 30 Plumpton-- a course he has run well at , but first time seems a good time to catch him, and with Webber having won 2 out of 3 chase starts here, omens look good for proper effort-- The likely fav Brody Bleu won well at exeter lto-- a very different track to zippy Plumpton-- at 9/1 Citrus Mark looks top value-- good luck all....
 
Morning gents, I don't usually do to well punting on Irish races but as none are avaialable in the UK at my favoured distance (between 1 to 1.6 miles) I'll see if my luck will change:

3.25 Leopardstown - RAWAAQ 9/4
3.55 Leopardstown - LOCH GARMAN 4/1

Good luck with your punts.
 
rudebwoy said:
mornin all-- today is pure jumping -- some fresh horses, some that never seem to stop, and plenty of deadwood plodding around -- i am going to focus on paul webber's Citrus Mark in the 4 30 Plumpton-- a course he has run well at , but first time seems a good time to catch him, and with Webber having won 2 out of 3 chase starts here, omens look good for proper effort-- The likely fav Brody Bleu won well at exeter lto-- a very different track to zippy Plumpton-- at 9/1 Citrus Mark looks top value-- good luck all....
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have just seen a going change to good to soft-- no good for this top of the ground performer-- so reluctantly i am pulling this fancy...
 
woolcombe-folly007 said:
15.30 Plumpton- Planetoid - 11/2

Altho not shown it as of yet on the racecourse- he is a very talented horse (as shown on the flat)- works very well at home is very temperamental, he knows he has talent but needs to put that on the flat form in to the jumps. Has not had the best start over hurdles has but now tackles handicap company for the 1st time off a very decent mark of 85 which should miles below of what he cant actually run to! More interesting his more experienced stable mate On The Feather who below him in the betting market is the ride of Mattie Batchelor with Tom Scudamore the choice Planetoid. Altho i reckon he is going to be better over bigger fences, he should make a mockery of this handicap mark tomorrow.
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Non Runner :(
 
The older mile division looks shocking this season so France needs to offer up a 3yo. I'm not surprised Animal Kingdom is going Queen Anne, would you rather face Cirrus and Camelot or Cityscape.....
 
I'd like to see Camelot over 10f and St Nic over 12f. I'd go Coronation Cup and Arc, I really think he can win a decent ground Arc. Heck of a horse, desperately underrated but only seen to best effect going left-handed. In between I suppose the King George is worth a crack. Camelot, meanwhile, can go for some or all of the POW, Eclipse, Juddmonte, That Irish Race and Champions Stakes. Avoids any clashes and empahsizes Camelot's speed for a future career at Stud. I've been looking for some Arc odds though.
 
2.08 Longchamp ANODIN (NAP) 11/1 on Betdaq at the moment for me is a fantastic price. This horse looked classy for me and it is interesting that Peslier rides this one of the two from the same owndership. Watch the video below for how well it travels whilst the rest begin to wind it up- usually in French racing they all come off the bridle together but this horse has been looked after and wrapped in cotton wool as a 2 Y O and the response to just hands and heels nudged out here is impressive for me:

[video=youtube;gXFFeT717cU]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXFFeT717cU[/video]
 
FEREVIA in the Longchamp opener if it as soft as they say. Proven over the distance and conditions already and this Motivator colt can go well.
 
French 1000 Gns

Peslier not riding Intello has given me a bit of a headache.

I have no idea why Peslier has gone against Intello. Either he knows something about one or both beyond the form they have shown or he didn't actually have a choice. Maybe Intello can only win hands and heels and is known not to find anything off the bridle. This afternoon will reveal all.

If he did choose Anodin over Intello then that just lessens my enthusiasm for Intello rather than turn to Anodin.

Although Olympic Glory looks a cert I'm looking elsewhere for decent priced alternatives. The two that stand out for me are Havana Gold 20/1 and My Approach 40/1. Although sentiment plays a large part, being sons of Teofilo and New Approach, there is form in the book to give these place claims.

Havana Gold. The one piece of form that I'm looking at is his unplaced effort at the back end of last year behind 9/2 shot Style Vendome. Havana Gold (11/10 fav) came to win that race and would have done so had the jockey not fallen off 100 yards out due to a slipped saddle. He was beaten 4l by Toronado at Newmarket but that was in a fast time on going that maybe was a bit on the firm side for him and, if the French Guineas was his target, it's possible he will strip fitter for this race. It's all guesswork but at 20/1 he must be better value that the 9/2 shot.

My Approach. By New Approach out of a Warning mare and lightly raced he could be anything. Again, I'm using Style Vendome as the form line. On only his second race, his first on turf, he was beaten comfortably by Style Vendome in Group 3 event but, outpaced between the 1f and 2f poles, he ran on strongly in the final furlong to take 5th place 3¼L behind Style Vendome. I'll be surprised if he can't get closer over an extra furlong and, being so lightly race as a 2yo may have more improvement than the winner. So, again comparing the prices he looks better value than Style Vendome.

If Style Vendome turns out to be a donkey, I'm ****ed.
 
Gale Force Ten in the French 2000 Guineas, Smart juvenile form tied in with Reckless Abandon so as alot of speed but shaped like a horse who wouldn't mind 8 furlongs on his last start winning comfortably over 7f at Dundalk. Beautiful draw in 5, 12/1 with Billy Hills this morning. He could be a great e/w bet...
 
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