The Official Not606 Hungarian GP Chat & Predictions

  • Please bear with us on the new site integration and fixing any known bugs over the coming days. If you can not log in please try resetting your password and check your spam box. If you have tried these steps and are still struggling email [email protected] with your username/registered email address
  • Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Who wont be left Hungary this weekend?


  • Total voters
    34
  • Poll closed .
Monaco 2012 mate, Monaco 2012. Where were you then?
"Typical Schumacher hater there. He puts it on pole, and apparently always should have done, would have been a twat if he didn't etc etc."
Mercedes are crap, seen as though the Qualifying draw is only 6-5 you should zip it.
:cry:
 
Where's Cosi when you need him, he always has some good words about Schumacher...
He's my driver in the sweepstakes… …

[Referring to Gary Anderson's strategy predictions] Does anyone know how they calculate these? Do they assume that a two-stopper will lap as fast as a three stopper on fresh tyres and that the degradation will be the same? Because someone doing an extra stop is going to push the tyres that bit harder but at the same time suffer higher degradation. I'd like to see more people go for three stoppers but they're all so passive and react to the others stopping. It's almost as if the strategists are afraid to let the drivers push and don't trust them to overtake later on in the race, although I suspect the teams just use the same computer simulations to plan the quickest strategy. I think the sport would benefit if someone went hell for leather on a three stopper and won tomorrow, just to encourage the others to take more risks with strategy.
You are quite right that drivers will use the tyres differently; and your comparison guess is indeed part of the problem a race-engineer and his driver face. Driving style and car set-up will also influence the decision (e.g. Alonso wears his fronts more, compared to Hamilton who is heavy on the rear) and the compounds supplied may benefit one style over the other, even requiring a driver to alter style a little in order to exploit the 'best' option (no pun intended).

The calculation compares two or more 'models', and estimates the optimum accumulated time over the total race distance with 'ideal' use of tyres (normally just one stint on the Prime), without taking account of potential difficulties with traffic – which may require some revision of the plan as the action unfolds; offset by the total time lost through pit-stops including car stationary for about 3.4 secondseach. I believe the Option tyre for Hungaroring this year is estimated to be 0.64 seconds quicker per lap on average (at expected temperatures), but of course it degrades sooner and less progressively. All these factors must take account of improving 'idealised' conditions due to fuel losses as well as increased grip as the circuit becomes more rubbered-in towards the end of the race. This is a bigger factor at Hungary than most circuits, due to the fact that it sees very little use throughout the year. It also means that tyre degradation is higher for this circuit than most others, due to the track's dusty, (slippery) nature because it increases 'slip-angle', which tends to scrub and overheat the tyres*.

Once these parameters are understood, computer models can make light of the calculation – and apparently Anderson's an expert with his input!
;)

I'm expecting most teams to do three stints with two on the Options; although this may be compromised by how a driver has used his tyres thus far, and may also require a rethink on-the-fly, if traffic or other circumstances come into play. And whilst I'm on the subject, this is where I feel McLaren have tended to be ponderous with their thinking.
- - -o0o- - -

*'Slip-angle' is the difference between the route a tyre takes over the track surface, and the angle it is actually pointing in. As most will know, slip-angle at the front is known as understeer and at the rear is oversteer. Slip-angle generates heat and tends to scrub the tyre, and the two available compounds can be quite different, making these calculations more complicated. Indeed, as has been discussed at length, this has been one of the biggest headaches in trying to get to grips with Pirelli's tyres for this season!
 
Cheers cosi. Do you think Anderson has calculated his strategies himself assuming a gap between the two compounds and the rate they degrade or do you think he's just got the information from one of the teams?

It's been raining in Hungary, the track will be dry if there's no rain though. Just watched the GP3 race, brilliant wet/dry race, da Costa was excellent, started 8th having won the first race, was up to fourth then pitted for slicks and fought from 9th to 1st. Him and Pal Kiss were over 40 seconds off the lead with 6 laps to go.
 
Cheers cosi. Do you think Anderson has calculated his strategies himself assuming a gap between the two compounds and the rate they degrade or do you think he's just got the information from one of the teams?

It's been raining in Hungary, the track will be dry if there's no rain though. Just watched the GP3 race, brilliant wet/dry race, da Costa was excellent, started 8th having won the first race, was up to fourth then pitted for slicks and fought from 9th to 1st. Him and Pal Kiss were over 40 seconds off the lead with 6 laps to go.

It wasn't supposed to rain until 1 o clock.
 
Looking back at qualifying does anybody feel angry at Jenson? I mean the guy was 6 tenths off Lewis yesterday and you had people like Seb being kicked out of Q2 in the past when just being 2 tenths off Webber for example.

I don't hate Button but the guy had a **** qualifying attempt and he still makes it into the top 4! Surely I'm not the only one that thinks that's bullshit?

Any other car and he would of been where Webber was I believe.
 
Looking back at qualifying does anybody feel angry at Jenson? I mean the guy was 6 tenths off Lewis yesterday and you had people like Seb being kicked out of Q2 in the past when just being 2 tenths off Webber for example.

I don't hate Button but the guy had a **** qualifying attempt and he still makes it into the top 4! Surely I'm not the only one that thinks that's bullshit?

It's like going back a few years when there were substantial gaps between teams and drivers. This year has been ridiculously close sometimes, as you say 2 tenths being the difference being fastest in Q2 and not mkaing it through at all! Such small margins.
 
So whats this about then?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/19032217

Could this be related to claims last year that they had an ajustable rideheight during the race? Could it be done by a small tweek in the pit lane?

Horner claims that they've never once adjusted the car in park ferme. Based on their qualifying pace vs race pace last year I'd say that's worth investigating. Also a case of exact words, as he didn't say anything about during the race...
 
So whats this about then?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/19032217

Could this be related to claims last year that they had an ajustable rideheight during the race? Could it be done by a small tweek in the pit lane?

Basically they had a device which allowed them to do by hand what other teams do using a screwdriver, so naturally everyone assumes they're cheating. If you look through the McLaren thread you'll find a discussion about McLaren being able to change theirs during a pitstop (which is legal), with pitstops being sub 3 seconds now the teams are obviously going to look for ways to reduce the time it takes to adjust the ride height. Like Horner says, it's a non-issue, it's just being made into one for another smear against Red Bull.

Edit: I can't find the discussion in the McLaren thread (I was getting mixed up with the brake cooling adjustments during pitstops), it might be in the Spare Parts thread, I found this from Scarbs though:

Scarbs said:
One solution put forward was ride height adjustment made during the race. Since the ban on active technologies in the nineties, the rules are clear, there can be no adjustment of the cars suspension while it is moving, equally parc ferme rules prevent any changes between qualifying and the race. But teams could have a mechanic adjust the ride height during the pitstops.This would be legal and feasible, as the pushrods or torsion bar mounting could be fitted with a quick adjustment mechanism. Even within a sub 3 second pitstop, this could be completed accurately. But as the car will start the race with qualifying (low fuel) ride height settings, this could not be adjusted until the first pitstop, thus the opening stint would be compromised by the wring ride height. Of course the balance of the race could then follow the ride height with the decreasing fuel load, but adjusting at the second and subsequent stops.

How could this be done?


Teams generally adjust ride height with shims fitted to the pushrods. The pushrod is split between the main shaft and the metal end fitting, by loosening the bolts that tie them together a shim can be added into the gap. Thicker shims mean more ride height and the shims need to be added to each of the four pushrods (two front two rear) to gain a balanced ride height. Adjusting via this method is impractical during a rapid pit stop. The pushrods could have a threaded adjuster as used on the front wing flap, a turn of the adjuster drops ride height by a fixed amount, this would be quicker to adjust, but still all four relatively in accessible (during a hectic pitstop at least ) would be difficult.


More likely would be to rotate the fixed ends of the torsion bar springs, by fitting the torsion bars on each axle to a common mechanism, they could be quickly adjusted by a single adjuster (two in total for the car) accessible through the top of the chassis or gearbox. Although the latter would be still hard to access shrouded by the rear wheels and rear wing, plus the associated wheel change and jack mechanics.

http://scarbsf1.com/blog1/2010/02/21/ride-height-changes-with-fuel-level/
 
Cheers cosi. Do you think Anderson has calculated his strategies himself assuming a gap between the two compounds and the rate they degrade or do you think he's just got the information from one of the teams? …
Yes.
Anderson understands the factors of the calculation just as well as the teams, except for one relatively minor factor: he doesn't have the precise data which a team will need to make use of. Therefore his predictions are educated guesses based on rough estimates of what he expects this data to be. However, any differences are usually minor when measured against the simple objective of discovering whether 1, 2, 3 (or even 4) stops will give the theoretical quickest solution.





Looking back at qualifying does anybody feel angry at Jenson? I mean the guy was 6 tenths off Lewis yesterday and you had people like Seb being kicked out of Q2 in the past when just being 2 tenths off Webber for example.

I don't hate Button but the guy had a **** qualifying attempt and he still makes it into the top 4! Surely I'm not the only one that thinks that's bullshit?

Any other car and he would of been where Webber was I believe.
For a moment, remove Hamilton from your assessment. This would show the gaps to be far smaller. When one bears in mind how closely competitive the top teams are this season, what Hamilton did was quite exceptional; effectively distorting the picture. That said, I agree that Button is unlikely to be comfortable with his weekend's performance so far, since it is natural to ask oneself why there is such a difference to one's team mate.




It's like going back a few years when there were substantial gaps between teams and drivers. This year has been ridiculously close sometimes, as you say 2 tenths being the difference being fastest in Q2 and not mkaing it through at all! Such small margins.
Exactly.
 
Rain might not be such a good thing for the spectacle, baldy Benson says that the teams are expecting 'downpour style' rain so we could have quite a few safety cars/red flags.

On the plus side it will stay hot so when the rain stops the track will dry out pretty quickly unlike what we had in Silverstone
 
Holes in the wheels are considered 'moveable aero devices'? seriously the FIA should have a word with themselves if they consider Mercedes front wing staller legal, talk about playing favourites.