xG is a way of measuring the probability of scoring from a shot. No matter how easy the chance is there's never going to be a 100% definite you'll score. So if they classify a good chance as thinking you'll score 1 in every 3 of given the opportunity then it'll be an xg of 0.33 As another poster put it, a penalty is often seen as one of the best chances you'll get or scoring in a match - but not every single one is scored which is why it's measured at 0.76 or whatever... So if you took 100 penalties you'd be expected to score 76 of them on average.
Yes, my point above wasn’t to suggest that splashing the cash for the sake of it was the only way to get success, but the Allams seemed to think saving money was the be all and end all, whereas as you say there are smarter ways to do it. I’d much rather save money on player wages for example, and hire a really good scouting team. Appreciate that’s probably harder when you tell them they don’t have much of a budget to work with! I do think, unless you get a squad that clicks brilliantly, you have to spend something to get the squad depth needed for a proper crack at promotion, but that’s all for nought unless you have a strategy. It’s something we have clearly lacked (present owners included) over the last five years.
I don't think you're wrong, but I do think it's quite possible to set a budget within the means of the club, set a strict wage structure, and with the right recruiting set up and Academy, do quite well and over-achieve relative to wage budget. A lot of teams up and down the EFL prove this is possible, but it does require the club to be well run, which of course requires some level of investment - but that should be within the means of the club.
I agree..but we will have to wait till the end of the season to see if the small budget clubs succeed...but you are fundamentally right..smart signings are better than big signings often
Guess it depends on the base squad you start with. If you've just survived your first season with good L1 players but have aspirations to challenge in the coming years then isn't it likely you'll need more of an overhaul to achieve that than perhaps a club already established? Whether you do that slowly over a number of windows I guess is a strategic decision. Potential pros and cons to both. It is much much harder for clubs with very small budgets to sustain success over a number of years however as it either involves keeping your personnel (the more success the more difficult that is) or continually defying the odds in the transfer market - which even the better resourced clubs are ultimately trying to do also.
Slightly harsh on Rosie. If he is as good a manager as he was a player he would be fine for us. He is thought to be a good tactician and coach. If he has the motivational skills then he could be a great appointment. We have seen that Dawson has the ability to motivate a team and get it to perform. Young English coaches rarely get a chance so I would be happy to see Rosie and Daws have a crack at it.
Just keep dawson, if anything spend some money and get good assistants that can help him with analyzing and scouting opponents etc
It's the 'If' factor, we don't need to gamble if there are experienced coaches out there wanting to throw their hats in the ring. Rosie and Daws will always be fondly thought of, and yes Daws has improved us, but I'd be happier with an experienced head at the helm for the likes of Rosie and Daws to draw from, before going full.pelt and having to learn on the job.
Andy Dawson should be left in charge for a the foreseeable future as he clearly has the backing of the squad. No manager available could have got a better performance out of the current squad than he did on Saturday. Acun should back him and let him assemble his own team of assistants at least until January and if all goes well then make it permanent. Should the worst happen and it goes wrong then replace him with some "big" name. I personally don't think anyone could do any better than Daws is doing now. Once the injuries clear up we could really go for it. It's a massive opportunity for Andy so let him give it his best. Winning and climbing the table is great under any manager whether an unknown or a Galactico.
In the absence of anyone coming forward I suspect he'll certainly be in charge til the world Cup starts. Far too quiet with regards potential new managers.
I hope that's the case. But Liam Rosenior's odds have dropped markedly on Skybet to 9-4 on, whereas Dawson's have lengthened out to 6-1.
Whilst I dont think Daws is the answer.... imagine brining Rosie in right now and the reaction of the team and squad. Whilst he is HCAFC, so is Daws and I personally think it would upset the apple cart. Now, if a 'named' manager came in, different story...
When we win I think we should keep Dawson. When we lose I think we should get a new manager as soon as possible. Im not sure what we should do when we draw.
