Daily Racing Thread Monday 27th. July 2020

[NassauBoard]

12:35 Redcar - Tapeten Toni e/w

(Handicap debut so very speculative. First encouraging run was LTO 12-days ago. Middle-to-high numbers have decided advantage in the Redcar straight sprints, so #9 draw a good one. Raining, but still should handle ground whatever it turns out to be? Could not get 9/1 at time of writing, so settled with 8/1. After Saturday's debacle, seems I am not very good with early odds!)

Interesting that you mention the draw. I was looking earlier and stalls in terms of strike rate % at Redcar over the minimum is

Stall %
2 16%
18 13%
9 13%
1 12%
8 8%

Suggests that stall 9 is a pretty good one and either they go well from lowest or high. It'll be interesting to see what happens today.

 

[Mick Malones Mauser]

What do we reckon Dermot Weld to have a good Galway festival once again, the last few festivals haven’t been as a fruitful for him as they once were

Welds horse Dalton Highway has been backed from 10s into 4s in the 6.45 ...Jamie Codd riding..could be worth a look

 

[Ste D]

Ah the Galway Festival. The racing maybe not the best standard but the craic is mighty( well maybe not this year). One I've backed is Atlas in 5.45 at 6s to follow up on his recent Ltown win.

 

[SwanHills]

Interesting that you mention the draw. I was looking earlier and stalls in terms of strike rate % at Redcar over the minimum is

Stall %
2 16%
18 13%
9 13%
1 12%
8 8%

Suggests that stall 9 is a pretty good one and either they go well from lowest or high. It'll be interesting to see what happens today.

Well, Nass, the speed was all with the low numbers this time. Winner won it easily. Think my speculative bet might have finished in the dreaded 4th position, don't know yet. Turned-out that those drawn high had no chance in this one! Thank you for the draw stats.

 

[NassauBoard]

Well, Nass, the speed was all with the low numbers this time. Winner won it easily. Think my speculative bet might have finished in the dreaded 4th position, don't know yet. Turned-out that those drawn high had no chance in this one! Thank you for the draw stats.

Did you see the ride on the horse drawn 2? Very very odd!!

 

[SwanHills]

Did you see the ride on the horse drawn 2? Very very odd!!

Indeed, Nass. Squeezed at the start, then Jason Hart slowly took Harswell Prince over to the stands side and was by then in last place. Then, lots of whip waving to finish 7th of the 9 runners? Absolutely no attempt to even get a place? SP was 11/2, so a bit of money for the horse?

Hope I've 'read' it right, as I'm afraid race reading is not my cup of tea!

 

[Grecian Mick]

Morning all,

3.20 Red, GREAT COLLACI 7/1. Not too sure if there's a draw bias here but drawn 17/17 with J Fanning on board.

Certainly was a draw bias here and I got it totally wrong. Winner drawn 1, second drawn 2 and third drawn 3. Tricast paid just short of £1800

 

[NassauBoard]

Indeed, Nass. Squeezed at the start, then Jason Hart slowly took Harswell Prince over to the stands side and was by then in last place. Then, lots of whip waving to finish 7th of the 9 runners? Absolutely no attempt to even get a place? SP was 11/2, so a bit of money for the horse?

Hope I've 'read' it right, as I'm afraid race reading is not my cup of tea!

Spot on, bringing it across was odd and then he didn’t ride too vigorously when he knew the other had flown. Interesting to see if it runs well next time out!

 

[NassauBoard]

GrecianMick, good spot on the draw. Shame no one decided to tell the jockeys about it in the mile handicap! Only stall one ended up on the rail and won nicely in the end.

 

[smokethedeadbadger]

3:20 Redcar - Lukoutoldmakezebak 40/1 Ew (4 places)
3:50 Redcar - Tarnhelm 28/1 Ew (4 Places)

Singles and double

The first one ran much better today. went off at 16/1 and finished 7th. I'll probably give it another go next time. The second one did its usual trick of blowing the start. This one went the opposite way in the market and went off at 40/1. I definitely think it has a race in it but when that might be is anyone's guess. If it could break on terms it would be very interesting. I'm not sure i'll go in again on this one next time.

 

[smokethedeadbadger]

What do we reckon Dermot Weld to have a good Galway festival once again, the last few festivals haven’t been as a fruitful for him as they once were

Good start for him

 

[woolcombe-folly007]

Good start for him

Had a small bit on him too!!14/1 last nite. Should have done the forecast too! But will take the winner

 

[smokethedeadbadger]

Had a small bit on him too!!14/1 last nite. Should have done the forecast too! But will take the winner

Well done

 

[woolcombe-folly007]

Presenting Percy to be trained by Gordon Elliot!!!!!

 

[OddDog]

Presenting Percy to be trained by Gordon Elliot!!!!!

Wise decision, hope it works out for him.

I expect the Gigginstown operation to start winding down rather more quickly - heard the other day from someone who took a Ryanair flight from East Midlands to Spain with 9 people on it.

 

[Grecian Mick]

Also I've been following certain trainers, in particular team Crisford. I had their only runner at Newmarket on Saturday and today they have 1 runner up at Redcar. WITHOUT A FIGHT should take all the beating but is priced accordingly at 11/10. Hopefully nearer the off it will drift out.

Go team Crisford, another winner for them. Unfortunately no drift.

 

[Ste D]

Ah the Galway Festival. The racing maybe not the best standard but the craic is mighty( well maybe not this year). One I've backed is Atlas in 5.45 at 6s to follow up on his recent Ltown win.

Damn lost photo finish nothing worse

 

[woolcombe-folly007]

What do we reckon Dermot Weld to have a good Galway festival once again, the last few festivals haven’t been as a fruitful for him as they once were

Another winner

 

[Grendel]

Well, I thought Wembley was a bad value favourite and he was beaten at odds of 6/5. Dermot Weld's Blue For You won it at 8/1. I didn't fancy second Fav Lust either and he was very weak in the betting this morning before being supported back to his original odds later. He was only 6th though.

I had backed Trusted Ally at 5/1 and he was supported to 10/3 but he simply disappointed in 4th place. I think you would struggle to make a case for him matching his first run on the ratings. I had expected some improvement but as Frank Bruno once said about a fight that didn't pan out as predicted:-

"It just wasn't Cricket Harry, but you get that in Boxing"

 

[Grade One]

Morning

6.30 Windsor-Good Night Mr Tom @ 5-1 [Bet 365]

Like the booking of top track jockey Oisin Murphy

Tailed off