I'm going for 23297
Total loss of life this causes really depends on the level and success of mitigation measures that each country chooses to adopt. Looking at our own situation, according to Public Health England we're looking at between 20% - 80% of the population of the UK catching this before the end of this summer (between 13million and 53million people). Their modelling is showing that approx 50% of the final total will be infected over a 3 week period if/when this gets away from them and really goes, and 95% over 9 weeks - which is horrendous. Fail to slow the spread and the NHS will be completely overwhelmed and then yes, a lot of people will die (predominantly from the most at risk groups - 70yrs+ age, heart disease, lung disease, diabetes, immunocompromised, cancer etc). Currently something like 10% of those tested positive so far in Italy (similar age demographics) are in intensive care. If ICUs are all taken up then the fatality rate will climb dramatically from the already nasty 1-2% figures being quoted. Final reassuring point - we've got about 4000 ICU beds in the UK. Around 3200 are already in use.millions of people are going to die
All well and good but Nev needs an actual number for his rather sick Prediction League. I am going with 40234.Total loss of life this causes really depends on the level and success of mitigation measures that each country chooses to adopt. Looking at our own situation, according to Public Health England we're looking at between 20% - 80% of the population of the UK catching this before the end of this summer (between 13million and 53million people). Their modelling is showing that approx 50% of the final total will be infected over a 3 week period if/when this gets away from them and really goes, and 95% over 9 weeks - which is horrendous. Fail to slow the spread and the NHS will be completely overwhelmed and then yes, a lot of people will die (predominantly from the most at risk groups - 70yrs+ age, heart disease, lung disease, diabetes, immunocompromised, cancer etc). Currently something like 10% of those tested positive so far in Italy (similar age demographics) are in intensive care. If ICUs are all taken up then the fatality rate will climb dramatically from the already nasty 1% to 3.4% figures being quoted. Final reassuring point - we've got about 4000 ICU beds in the UK. Around 3200 are already in use.
Total loss of life this causes really depends on the level and success of mitigation measures that each country chooses to adopt. Looking at our own situation, according to Public Health England we're looking at between 20% - 80% of the population of the UK catching this before the end of this summer (between 13million and 53million people). Their modelling is showing that approx 50% of the final total will be infected over a 3 week period if/when this gets away from them and really goes, and 95% over 9 weeks - which is horrendous. Fail to slow the spread and the NHS will be completely overwhelmed and then yes, a lot of people will die (predominantly from the most at risk groups - 70yrs+ age, heart disease, lung disease, diabetes, immunocompromised, cancer etc). Currently something like 10% of those tested positive so far in Italy (similar age demographics) are in intensive care. If ICUs are all taken up then the fatality rate will climb dramatically from the already nasty 1-2% figures being quoted. Final reassuring point - we've got about 4000 ICU beds in the UK. Around 3200 are already in use.
So let me get this straight. Overpopulation, people living longer and soaring 'self-inflicted' illnesses such as diabetes, lung cancer and heart disease have caused, and continue to cause, a huge strain on services and resources.
Then a virus 'appears' that specifically kills the elderly and those with diabetes, cancer and heart disease.
One peek at the recent satellite scan of China's hugely reduced carbon footprint tells you enough.
Alrighty then.
Are you suggesting Greta has been up to no good?
5 dead now was only 1 yesterday
5 in 316 its on a roll in the UK .... seems to be raising its game
That's bollox. It was 2 on Saturday5 dead now was only 1 yesterday
5 in 316 its on a roll in the UK .... seems to be raising its game
OK. But it was 2 on Saturday, 3 yesterday. So 2 have died today.its 5 now
It varies dependent upon age and comorbidities. Looks to be around 1-3% on average. Far less if you are under 50 and healthy (around 0.2%) and far more if over 70 (9% +). Flu is around 0.02% for younger healthy and 0.8% for 65+ years.What's the percentage death rate?
OK. But it was 2 on Saturday, 3 yesterday. So 2 have died today.
What's the percentage death rate?