Off Topic Coronavirus and Quarantine

millions of people are going to die

 

I'm going for 23297

 

Is that total worldwide or in the UK? Perhaps we should start a sweepstake. Problem is, the higher the number you go for the less likely you are to be around to celebrate the win. So basically the Captain is ****ed!

 

Total loss of life this causes really depends on the level and success of mitigation measures that each country chooses to adopt. Looking at our own situation, according to Public Health England we're looking at between 20% - 80% of the population of the UK catching this before the end of this summer (between 13million and 53million people). Their modelling is showing that approx 50% of the final total will be infected over a 3 week period if/when this gets away from them and really goes, and 95% over 9 weeks - which is horrendous. Fail to slow the spread and the NHS will be completely overwhelmed and then yes, a lot of people will die (predominantly from the most at risk groups - 70yrs+ age, heart disease, lung disease, diabetes, immunocompromised, cancer etc). Currently something like 10% of those tested positive so far in Italy (similar age demographics) are in intensive care. If ICUs are all taken up then the fatality rate will climb dramatically from the already nasty 1-2% figures being quoted. Final reassuring point - we've got about 4000 ICU beds in the UK. Around 3200 are already in use.

 

All well and good but Nev needs an actual number for his rather sick Prediction League. I am going with 40234.

 

so are you suggesting we’re ****ed?

 

They should open up disused barracks as quarantined centres. There are a canny few around the uk after all the army cuts.

they could also quarantine hotels too and make makeshift quarantined centres.

most eta could then have free porn too.

 

So let me get this straight. Overpopulation, people living longer and soaring 'self-inflicted' illnesses such as diabetes, lung cancer and heart disease have caused, and continue to cause, a huge strain on services and resources.

Then a virus 'appears' that specifically kills the elderly and those with diabetes, cancer and heart disease.

One peek at the recent satellite scan of China's hugely reduced carbon footprint tells you enough.

Alrighty then.

 

Are you suggesting Greta has been up to no good?

 

I'm saying if Thanos turned up with his Infinity Stones and said "one snap of my fingers and all the old, fat and sick beings will cease to exist", I'm not sure Iron Man would've been so quick to stop him.

 

Stay away from dealers..

 

5 dead now was only 1 yesterday

5 in 316 its on a roll in the UK .... seems to be raising its game

 

When you have an increasingly retired community that is the likeliest outcomes, an increase in death from virus'.

As it stands, the UK aren't really doing anything about it apart from telling people to stay home if they're feeling a little ropey.

 

'Chinese restaurant' just happens to be an anagram of 'Eat SARS in here c u n t'

 

That's bollox. It was 2 on Saturday

 

its 5 now

 

OK. But it was 2 on Saturday, 3 yesterday. So 2 have died today.
What's the percentage death rate?

 

It varies dependent upon age and comorbidities. Looks to be around 1-3% on average. Far less if you are under 50 and healthy (around 0.2%) and far more if over 70 (9% +). Flu is around 0.02% for younger healthy and 0.8% for 65+ years.

All UK deaths so far have been in high risk categories.

 

I dunno but hundreds of thousands are going to meet their end