I remember the other day that Kaito had doubts about autonomous cars, and whether they could have the ability to drive themselves for donkey's years, after I mentioned about "Robotaxis". At the time I meant to find this video, but got distracted by life. I may have mentioned that autonomous driving is very much on the horizon, and I know I explained a little about machine learning, and how Tesla has billions of miles of driven data, and accumulating more at a faster rate each day [more cars sold, more driven data]. Tesla talks about their Full Self Driving [FSD] system as being "feature complete" very soon indeed. Maybe just a few weeks or months. Then they will release the FSD. However, it won't be FSD, but a hampered system, with many features turned off because they have to be pass checked by regulators. This might take anything from 2-5 years, depending upon the country and regulators. For example, already we, in the UK and Europe, have a stilted version of Tesla's Autopilot system, because our roads are narrower, our cities more congested, and our regulators more cautious, than say in the USA or China. So they'll take a bit longer, and meanwhile Tesla's system will just get better and better. But you can buy a Tesla now and in a couple or more years' time it'll get an over-the-air update to switch everything on, and be bang upto date like one that has just rolled off the factory assembly line that day.
So what does FSD look like when you turn it on properly? Well, this Tesla video is from mid-2019 when the system was nearly sorted, so they did a demo of how it could be. It's speeded up because watching something like this could be boring. You could always watch it at a slower speed. Note the mph. The car is travelling at realistic road speeds. Note that it stops at junctions and at lights, but customer cars don't yet. An example of a feature not being allowed to be turned on in the real world yet. The driver is obviously there just in case. But in just several years to come there won't be a driver in a robotaxi, or a steering wheel for that matter, 'cause the car will be safer without them:
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In the demo the car has been given a destination and with a flick of the stalk it starts to execute it, in the way it thinks fit. All those lane changes and speeds and stops are what it has decided, while keeping its passenger safe from other traffic.
Does it scare you? I'll admit, my instinct hedged against it when I first saw it months ago, while my logic said, "don't be stupid, it'll be fine". Because it will. This is just very early days stuff. In a couple of decades or so people may well gasp that we were allowed to drive our dangerous metal boxes at all.
