Anybody up for a sweepstake on the US elections
I was thinking about the following.
Presidential election 50 points for the correct winner then minus one point for each electoral college vote you are out in your forecast. So if you think Trump will win with 290 electoral collage votes and he wins with 320 you will get 50-30 points for a total of 20, if on the other hand Biden wins with 290 electoral college votes you get 0-40 for a total of -40.
For those who don’t follow the details of US elections each state is worth a certain number of votes in the electoral collage, basically the bigger the state the more electoral college votes it is worth, you need 270 to get a majority.
For the Senate, Only one third of the seats are up for election every two years, giving them a six year term of office. There are two Senators per state giving a total of 100, so you need 51 seats to win the Senate, if it is tied 50/50 then the Vice President has the casting vote. The current Senate is 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats so a close call. This time say which party will have the majority for 50 points and how many seats they will get. A tie also counts as a correct answer. Because there are not that many seats up for election you lose 10 points for each seat you are out. For the example if you think the Democratesvare going to win 52 seats And the Republicans win with 51 you get no pints for the winner but lose 40 as you were four seats out but if the Democrats win 53 seats you have 60 points. If you go for a tie you get a straight 50 points.
For the House there are a lot more seats and these are similar to our general elections with one Representatives per district as they are called. The current House is split. Democrats 233 seats, Republicans 201 and one Libertarian , so you need 218 seats for a majority. Points as before 50 for getting the winning party and as with the presidential election minus one for each seat you are out.
Just a bit of fun, not asking who you want to win but what you think will happen.
I will set up a spreadsheet and give a winner in each category and and overall winner across all three for those who want to have a stab at all three races.
I know that might sound complex but simply all you need to say is who will be president and how many electoral collage votes they will get and which party will control the Senate and the House and how many seats they will win. I will do the rest.
I was thinking about the following.
Presidential election 50 points for the correct winner then minus one point for each electoral college vote you are out in your forecast. So if you think Trump will win with 290 electoral collage votes and he wins with 320 you will get 50-30 points for a total of 20, if on the other hand Biden wins with 290 electoral college votes you get 0-40 for a total of -40.
For those who don’t follow the details of US elections each state is worth a certain number of votes in the electoral collage, basically the bigger the state the more electoral college votes it is worth, you need 270 to get a majority.
For the Senate, Only one third of the seats are up for election every two years, giving them a six year term of office. There are two Senators per state giving a total of 100, so you need 51 seats to win the Senate, if it is tied 50/50 then the Vice President has the casting vote. The current Senate is 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats so a close call. This time say which party will have the majority for 50 points and how many seats they will get. A tie also counts as a correct answer. Because there are not that many seats up for election you lose 10 points for each seat you are out. For the example if you think the Democratesvare going to win 52 seats And the Republicans win with 51 you get no pints for the winner but lose 40 as you were four seats out but if the Democrats win 53 seats you have 60 points. If you go for a tie you get a straight 50 points.
For the House there are a lot more seats and these are similar to our general elections with one Representatives per district as they are called. The current House is split. Democrats 233 seats, Republicans 201 and one Libertarian , so you need 218 seats for a majority. Points as before 50 for getting the winning party and as with the presidential election minus one for each seat you are out.
Just a bit of fun, not asking who you want to win but what you think will happen.
I will set up a spreadsheet and give a winner in each category and and overall winner across all three for those who want to have a stab at all three races.
I know that might sound complex but simply all you need to say is who will be president and how many electoral collage votes they will get and which party will control the Senate and the House and how many seats they will win. I will do the rest.
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