Tonights games.....

But we do know something about the teams, we know lots about them. So a hypothetic scenario involving four teams with identical players, management, formation and tactics, with exactly the same dynamics throughout the game and matching personal player issues, such as what they ate, training levels etc, is kind of an unlikely basis upon which to pin our chances. Nonetheless, your logic is inspired, perhaps giving hope beyond our reasonable current prospects. If we get to the playoff finals Swords, PM me and I will send you a pair of tickets.

Ah but that's not what I was saying now was it!! All I said was, on average, a team has a 25% chance of succeeding in the playoffs. All the variables can't realistically be added until 46 games are up so I think the most reliable figure we have at this stage is 25%. That's all I was saying, nothing more nothing less.

I won't need a ticket mate cos we're going up automatically! :1980_boogie_down:
 
Variables

Aston Villa get relegated sack Lambert
Hire Harold and new owners give him a 40m war chest but they fail on goal average to get promoted so are in the play offs ... Any given year you like

What are the odds then
 
Ah but that's not what I was saying now was it!! All I said was, on average, a team has a 25% chance of succeeding in the playoffs. All the variables can't realistically be added until 46 games are up so I think the most reliable figure we have at this stage is 25%. That's all I was saying, nothing more nothing less.

I won't need a ticket mate cos we're going up automatically! :1980_boogie_down:

I truly hope so, there's a 12/1 chance ! :):):)
 
Forgot to add that Harold signed Gustavo Fring a little Chilian winger who was owned by 17 different clubs
And there is a call for a points reduction

Villa lose against Doncaster in the final which was a shock as they finished 6th 32 points behind Villa in third
 
Forgot to add that Harold signed Gustavo Fring a little Chilian winger who was owned by 17 different clubs
And there is a call for a points reduction

Villa lose against Doncaster in the final which was a shock as they finished 6th 32 points behind Villa in third

Depends whether they've the gypsy curse on them or not Odders. And if they like dags ;)
 
By next Wed night 10pm ... just 7 days and two matches night Foxes could be just 4 points ahead of Burnley ahead and their goal difference smashed. Forrest well capable of beating them and Burnley win away at the Cherries

We could be 5th by then if we lose home to Reading

They may well smash each other up: Burnley have Forest Derby and then a ding dong against Blackburn

Foxes have Forest Ipswich Charlton Wigan ...they got a 11 point lead just a few weeks back ... not playing that well iMO and by the Wigan game could be out of the promotion places hard to imagine

Derby have Wed, Cherries, Burnley Millwall (8th) and could be top in March

We have Reading, Charlton, Wed, Leeds and a game in hand still after the next four played by all sides

My point is that April will sort it out IMO ... Forest dispatched at home, Foxes away and we win it by 10 points ... it wasn't just a guess.

I see Foxes failing to win at Forest, Wigan, Burnley and Reading and at home against Ipswich, QPR, Bolton

Burnley fail against Derby, Leeds, Reading, Wigan Blackburn, Ipswich

Its all hotting up nicely into a storm and I have always believed we will sail through the eye of it all to win the league ... the business end is the only focal point IMO
 
Let me get this straight DT and crystal clear - according to your ´alamanac´ we will win this league by 10 clear points?. Do you know that we have only scored 36 goals and that there are teams fighting relegation with the same amount of goals?. Your green-liquored perspective is truely admiring, Henri Monfa would be proud of you!!!
 
I have to keep believing Madrid as I can't change my mind as stated this a few games into the season ... we have 51 points still to go for why not believe

I find posters who believe that the Foxes have won it daft as a brush ... I do not rate them I respect the run they are on but Derby and Forest look better currently. We can play anyone in this division and i would expect us to dominate ... Burnley put three in against us ... But what was pleasing what we responded and looked a class above.
We still have the best defence in the league so the platform is there ... Austin out but maybe Keene will be better

It still today very much on that we will cruise past the lot of them.

I fed off the buzz that comes just before kick off ... its called hope and if we fail Yes it stings but we press on
 
I have to keep believing Madrid as I can't change my mind as stated this a few games into the season ... we have 51 points still to go for why not believe

I find posters who believe that the Foxes have won it daft as a brush ... I do not rate them I respect the run they are on but Derby and Forest look better currently. We can play anyone in this division and i would expect us to dominate ... Burnley put three in against us ... But what was pleasing what we responded and looked a class above.
We still have the best defence in the league so the platform is there ... Austin out but maybe Keene will be better

It still today very much on that we will cruise past the lot of them.

I fed off the buzz that comes just before kick off ... its called hope and if we fail Yes it stings but we press on

Our defence is getting tired that was plain to see on Monday night - our flair players just dont seem up to it at the moment - and we lost our goal machine. I too hope for this long awaited burst of force which catapults us into the driving seat, but I fear our ´run´ was the first 10 games!!! 8-2-0
 
I have to keep believing Madrid as I can't change my mind as stated this a few games into the season ... we have 51 points still to go for why not believe

I find posters who believe that the Foxes have won it daft as a brush ... I do not rate them I respect the run they are on but Derby and Forest look better currently. We can play anyone in this division and i would expect us to dominate ... Burnley put three in against us ... But what was pleasing what we responded and looked a class above.
We still have the best defence in the league so the platform is there ... Austin out but maybe Keene will be better

It still today very much on that we will cruise past the lot of them.

I fed off the buzz that comes just before kick off ... its called hope and if we fail Yes it stings but we press on

Wow, well if you don't "rate" us and think we are "not playing well" you must be suicidal over the ****e that your lot are serving up. <laugh>