Tonights games.....
- Thread starter Tramore Ranger
- Start date
Four teams, only one makes it, three do not.
If you want to talk about other factors such as form etc then we'll have to wait until the end of the season but as it stands, that's all the chances a team has.
Have you been with Roller tonight, engaging in some not strictly legal substance abuse Twins?
No I stand by it. Both your answers were quite surreal to be honest. For a moment I thought I'd strayed onto MASSIVE Leeds' Board where reality is permanently suspended.
Twins, how could it be 100%? If four teams contested the same playoffs four years running then, all else being equal, the chances are they'd each win it once, IE, 25%.
We can't bring other factors into play until 46 games have been played IMO.
Have to hand it to you fella, I think you've actually convinced some of us that you are serious.
Only codding you Swords, although that's the principle which attracts people to gaming machines, which is why they're so deadly. Of course you're right ( I think!) about the 25% thing.
I don't see the problem. Its basic mathematics. All the other factors you bring in may or may not have merit. For example, I heard there's a higher chance that 3rd placed teams go up, next 6th and then 3rd and 4th or something. However, that might be negated, as you say, by the 3rd placed team EG QPR having been sh*t against the other top sides that season. What factors you rule in and rule out are debatable but they are very important.
Still, as I said initially, "regardless of anything else" which means in its most basic form, your team having qualified for the playoffs has a 25% chance of being successful.
All else being equal - IE you not knowing anything whatsoever about the horses - they'd each have a 4% chance of winning it, yes.
I went to Brighton v Leeds tonight. Am working in littlehampton with a Brighton fan for a couple of weeks and he had a ticket going spare. The stadium is very good, although I'd be disappointed if we ended up with a new ground where the stand behind the goal was small compared to the sides. However the contrast between the Amex and loftus road is immense. It's a different experience. The atmosphere wasn't electric, but it would have been had it been a decent game. Neither side showed any quality, except DT's man, Solly March, who looks a very tidy player, and Lualua who came on for Brighton on the hour and created their goal. A half decent performance from us would have beaten either of those teams tonight. It was a typical championship game, with lots of surrendered possession and very little threat on goal. A good experience, but nothing like watching the team you love.
But we do know something about the teams, we know lots about them. So a hypothetic scenario involving four teams with identical players, management, formation and tactics, with exactly the same dynamics throughout the game and matching personal player issues, such as what they ate, training levels etc, is kind of an unlikely basis upon which to pin our chances. Nonetheless, your logic is inspired, perhaps giving hope beyond our reasonable current prospects. If we get to the playoff finals Swords, PM me and I will send you a pair of tickets.