Surely anything Europe did to us, or us to them, could be reciprocated, which is in no one's interests?
Scotland leaving the UK could be an unexpected bonus if the Out campaign wins, which it won't.
Could be argued that the EU would be better off without a trade agreement with the U.K. It has 440 million inhabitants excluding us. If UK goods (and goods are two thirds of what we export over the channel) are made more expensive by tariffs it could stimulate the economies within the EU to produce them instead, there is obviously a big enough market there. And they will need to create jobs to give all those people who can no longer come to the UK to work in Cafe Nero and pick strawberries something to do. Bit more difficult for us to do the same, our market may not be big enough to justify the investment for many products. We could avoid this scenario by devaluing the £, which is happening in an unintentional way now. Size matters in economics, and the EU has the richest internal market there is.
For financial services the EU has a huge incentive to develop more their own, especially in the Eurozone. Some of this 'negotiation' has been about 'protecting' the City (though why something that should be the epitome of free market capitalism needs or wants government protection is beyond me, anti competitive hypocrisy) which would clearly not apply if we are not in the EU.
If we want to have free trade with the EU the easiest way to do it with no disruption and maintaining a say in standards and regulations that apply is to stay in. Next easiest way is to go for membership of the EEA, where much of the same regulation and costs would apply. The most complicated and time consuming way is to negotiate a separate trade agreement.
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