Are you a bit of an idiot Calling? You must be because that silly case you've just outlined could be applied to Norwich who drew at Anfield, Stoke who drew with United and W Brom who were within one goal of the Champions. We are a NEWLY PROMOTED SIDE!! W Brom and Stoke expect to beat us and Norwich are above us in the table and will have Home advantage.
Look at it from every point of view rather than a narrow "my own team" perspective for goodness sake.
I think that point he is making is that if we are "happy" with 4 points from these games we will probably be going back down. If the football Gods offered 4 points from these now, would you take it? No, neither would I, even though it is what I expect us to get.