Had absolutely no interest in the antepost market for this since I got into racing but there is one I am on this year.
Toronado is the best High Chapparal juvenile I can ever remember seeing. He did not set the world alight but he was kept away from the tough Group 1s. He reminds me so much of his father because he has a really beautifully balanced but aggressive running style, and I think he will love Epsom if he goes there. He sometimes looks workmanlike but that is because he responds to pressure, so I think he will be really interesting when he goes further up in trip.
He looks set for the 2000 Guineas but I think he will be hard pressed to beat Dawn Approach over the mile, and I suspect having run well in a Guineas and running on strongly, they will very much want to go the Epsom Derby route afterwards. He runs next Thursday on reappearance so anyone who would like a big price for to sit and wait on for the Derby should take it now.
You can rule out Kingsbarns for me- beat a ****e Racing Post Trophy field and has already had setbacks- it smacks a little bit of St Nicholas Abbeys classic season a couple of years back. He might be decent in time, but not ready for the classics IMO. Dawn Approach is not entered at the moment, and Mars has won an egg and spoon on the Dundalk sand! When you look at it like that, as a supporter of Toronado I would have to think 16/1 is a massive, massive price for the Derby?
Aiden O'Brien will surely throw a couple of darts at this and with his plans up in the air a little bit, Foundry might be one of his interesting 'outsiders' of this race. A lovely pedigree (Galileo out of a US 3YO Grade 1 Dirt Winner), he responded really well when asked when winning a 7f maiden at the back end of the last season so it strikes me that he has a bit of natural speed about him, as you would expect with his Dam being a US miler/9f dirt horse. He looked better the further he went and I suspect he might end up running in the Chester Derby trial in May and he has far more potential than The United States, Battle Of Marengo, and Ruler Of The World, and there must still be doubts around Kingsbarns until he runs. Mars will tell us a lot more in the Guineas but I think he will be well beaten in that and he has a lot to prove for a 10/1 shot!
TORONADO 16/1 5pts WIN.
FOUNDRY 20/1 2.5 pts each-way
2013 Epsom Derby Betting
Epsom Derby Race Trends
Toronado is the best High Chapparal juvenile I can ever remember seeing. He did not set the world alight but he was kept away from the tough Group 1s. He reminds me so much of his father because he has a really beautifully balanced but aggressive running style, and I think he will love Epsom if he goes there. He sometimes looks workmanlike but that is because he responds to pressure, so I think he will be really interesting when he goes further up in trip.
He looks set for the 2000 Guineas but I think he will be hard pressed to beat Dawn Approach over the mile, and I suspect having run well in a Guineas and running on strongly, they will very much want to go the Epsom Derby route afterwards. He runs next Thursday on reappearance so anyone who would like a big price for to sit and wait on for the Derby should take it now.
You can rule out Kingsbarns for me- beat a ****e Racing Post Trophy field and has already had setbacks- it smacks a little bit of St Nicholas Abbeys classic season a couple of years back. He might be decent in time, but not ready for the classics IMO. Dawn Approach is not entered at the moment, and Mars has won an egg and spoon on the Dundalk sand! When you look at it like that, as a supporter of Toronado I would have to think 16/1 is a massive, massive price for the Derby?
Aiden O'Brien will surely throw a couple of darts at this and with his plans up in the air a little bit, Foundry might be one of his interesting 'outsiders' of this race. A lovely pedigree (Galileo out of a US 3YO Grade 1 Dirt Winner), he responded really well when asked when winning a 7f maiden at the back end of the last season so it strikes me that he has a bit of natural speed about him, as you would expect with his Dam being a US miler/9f dirt horse. He looked better the further he went and I suspect he might end up running in the Chester Derby trial in May and he has far more potential than The United States, Battle Of Marengo, and Ruler Of The World, and there must still be doubts around Kingsbarns until he runs. Mars will tell us a lot more in the Guineas but I think he will be well beaten in that and he has a lot to prove for a 10/1 shot!
TORONADO 16/1 5pts WIN.
FOUNDRY 20/1 2.5 pts each-way
2013 Epsom Derby Betting
Epsom Derby Race Trends
