Labour are finished, I very sadly believe. In England they have mistakenly bet on the Red Wall seats coming back to the fold now they are a Brexit-supporting party. That gives all of us nowhere to turn to once Brexit is proven to be a complete failure.
But the main problem is Scotland. As things stand, the vast majority of Scottish voters favour both independence from the UK and an early return to the EU. In the Scottish Parliamentary elections in May, a campaign of tactical voting could see a combination of SNP and Green MSP’s holding practically all the seats, as these are the only parties favouring both independence and rejoining. With all guns blazing for Indyref2, and Labour firmly opposed to independence, a General Election, early or not, will see Labour most probably lose the only seat in Scotland they currently hold, let alone take the 30 or so they would need to get anywhere near a Westminster majority.
And once those Scottish seats are gone for good, they signal the end of Labour’s last hope. Either they need to change their stance on Europe, to appeal to Scottish voters, or they’re done.
Personally, the only party I would feel happy about supporting nationally are the Greens, but only electoral reform gives them any hope of getting a decent number of Westminster seats.
