Mathematical safety

[canary-dave]

Anyone on here heard of the east african lager called tusker?

More importantly, if you have, do you know where they sell it norfolk? The only places in the uk I know they sell it is in a pub in Edinburgh and that's too far for me! Also knew they used to sell it in selfridges but have now stopped.

Nowhere in Norfolk, but a few places nearer than Edinburgh!
http://www.eabl.com/inner.asp?cat=ukinternational&subcat=distributors&3rd=true

 

[ncfcwonky]

Thanks dave!

 

[Cruyff's Turn]

Back to the OP,and how Arsenal 1 Wigan 2 affects it.Well first of all the odds on Wigan for the drop have lemgthened to 6/1.As they were odds on for the drop eight days ago that is a pretty spectacular turnaround by Martinez.Two tricky fixtures,although by comparson with the last two a stroll in the park.I expect them to take 7 points.

Blackburn:The toughest to predict.Chelsea.who will have either won or lost the cup on the last day,playing Wigan when they may be safe,Spurs and Us.6 points.

Bolton: 6 Games in three weeks.Apart from Villa five of them have nothing to play for.Would expect two wins,two draws,two defeats.8 points from 6.

The Villa: Only peripherally involved but last night's result at The Emirates drops them right in it.Some tricky fixtures. Fellow strugglers Bolton,a West Midlands derby with The Baggies and us away on the last day,a match that will now surely figure in the battle.6 points from 5.

QPRcelona: The toughest fixtures by a country mile.The last game at The Etihad that Man City may be desperate to win too would be my bet of the season not to finish with 22 players on the pitch. (Maybe 18 or 19) It is possible that Rangers may have already joined Wolves by then but I wouldn't let that hold you back from a flutter on the wildest game of the season! 4 points

Wolves: Already gone IMO Un point.

My final table:

15 Villa 41

16 Wigan 41

17 Bolton 37

18 QPR 35

19 Blackburn 34

20 Wolves 24

A great result for Bolton tonight.Leaves them needing 4 from 4 to reach 37.Villa OTOH might now struggle to make 41 points 5 points needed from 3.Think they may need something from us on the last day.

 

[Cruyff's Turn]

Back to the OP,and how Arsenal 1 Wigan 2 affects it.Well first of all the odds on Wigan for the drop have lemgthened to 6/1.As they were odds on for the drop eight days ago that is a pretty spectacular turnaround by Martinez.Two tricky fixtures,although by comparson with the last two a stroll in the park.I expect them to take 7 points.

Blackburn:The toughest to predict.Chelsea.who will have either won or lost the cup on the last day,playing Wigan when they may be safe,Spurs and Us.6 points.

Bolton: 6 Games in three weeks.Apart from Villa five of them have nothing to play for.Would expect two wins,two draws,two defeats.8 points from 6.

The Villa: Only peripherally involved but last night's result at The Emirates drops them right in it.Some tricky fixtures. Fellow strugglers Bolton,a West Midlands derby with The Baggies and us away on the last day,a match that will now surely figure in the battle.6 points from 5.

QPRcelona: The toughest fixtures by a country mile.The last game at The Etihad that Man City may be desperate to win too would be my bet of the season not to finish with 22 players on the pitch. (Maybe 18 or 19) It is possible that Rangers may have already joined Wolves by then but I wouldn't let that hold you back from a flutter on the wildest game of the season! 4 points

Wolves: Already gone IMO Un point.

My final table:

15 Villa 41

16 Wigan 41

17 Bolton 37

18 QPR 35

19 Blackburn 34

20 Wolves 24

So, Wolves have reached 24.Looks like Bolton and Wigan have the best chance of exceeding their quotas Villa maybe struggling to make theirs.Still fancy the bottom three for the drop.Whilst we are not mathematically safe the goal difference over Bolton and Wigan looks insurmountable.If QPR don't win at SB tomorrow then we are mathematically safe.

 

[royalbarclayfan]

So, Wolves have reached 24.Looks like Bolton and Wigan have the best chance of exceeding their quotas Villa maybe struggling to make theirs.Still fancy the bottom three for the drop.Whilst we are not mathematically safe the goal difference over Bolton and Wigan looks insurmountable.If QPR don't win at SB tomorrow then we are mathematically safe.

And even if they do somehow miraculously manage to find a win there, if Bolton fail to beat Spurs on Wednesday, we´re still safe.

 

[Cruyff's Turn]

If you really want to cover all the bases put a fiver on this: QPR to win all three at 9/2,5/4 and 10/1 will bring you £625 Put your winnings on Bolton to beat Spurs at 14/5 (£1750)Then to beat WBA at 13/10 (£4025) and then Stoke 10/3
(£17,500)
Wigan to beat Blackburn 9/4 (£57,500) and Wolves 4/9 (£83,000)

Villa to beat Spurs at 13/5 (£252,000) And Us 15/8 (£725,000)

Then on top of that Wigan have to turn over a goal difference of 6 and Bolton 12.Given that run of results Wigan possibly would but Bolton would be unlikely to,an average of 2.4 goals per game required.

 

[Cruyff's Turn]

Back to the OP,and how Arsenal 1 Wigan 2 affects it.Well first of all the odds on Wigan for the drop have lemgthened to 6/1.As they were odds on for the drop eight days ago that is a pretty spectacular turnaround by Martinez.Two tricky fixtures,although by comparson with the last two a stroll in the park.I expect them to take 7 points.

Blackburn:The toughest to predict.Chelsea.who will have either won or lost the cup on the last day,playing Wigan when they may be safe,Spurs and Us.6 points.

Bolton: 6 Games in three weeks.Apart from Villa five of them have nothing to play for.Would expect two wins,two draws,two defeats.8 points from 6.

The Villa: Only peripherally involved but last night's result at The Emirates drops them right in it.Some tricky fixtures. Fellow strugglers Bolton,a West Midlands derby with The Baggies and us away on the last day,a match that will now surely figure in the battle.6 points from 5.

QPRcelona: The toughest fixtures by a country mile.The last game at The Etihad that Man City may be desperate to win too would be my bet of the season not to finish with 22 players on the pitch. (Maybe 18 or 19) It is possible that Rangers may have already joined Wolves by then but I wouldn't let that hold you back from a flutter on the wildest game of the season! 4 points

Wolves: Already gone IMO Un point.

My final table:

15 Villa 41

16 Wigan 41

17 Bolton 37

18 QPR 35

19 Blackburn 34

20 Wolves 24

Two games left,apart from Bolton.From the bottom I have Wolves to lose against Everton and Wigan.Blackburn to draw at home to Wigan,lose to Chelsea.QPR to beat Stoke lose to Citeh,Villa to draw with Tottenham and with us. Boltonto draw with Spurs,beat WBA and lose to Stoke.Wigan draw Blackburn Win Wolves. In Which case:

Wigan 41

Bolton 38

Villa 38

QPR 37

Blackburn32

Wolves 24


That raises the interesting scenario of the last games with QPR needing a better result at Citeh than Villa get at CR to stay up.