Afternoon guys and thanks for the daily thread Wooly
, good to see you around Ardent looks like a decent days racing with some nice prices to be had in the Handicaps.
Had a bit of time to study today so my fancies have a little bit of thought in them, rather than my normal pinsticker selections (kiss of death there):
Ascot
3.20 Romeo Montague 6/1 was impressive LTO when he led at the 2f marker at Ascot over 2m 5f in much better company than is on show here today, drops back to 2m today which should suit.
3.55 Lexis Hero 12/1 (EW) edging down to his winning mark of 95 when he won in similar company at York at a very nice price of 20/1, with Jamie Spencer on board he should go close again today, interestingly the six times he has been on board the horse has finished 2-1-1-1-2-4 and in all of his defeats has only been beaten 8l and is the stables only runner here today.
4.30 Appolo D'Negro 12/1 (EW) running on well LTO and is upped in distance and Class here today, however, his last race suggested to me he will be winning soon and todays price of 12/1 looks the value bet of the day for me.
5.05 Starwatch 16/1 (EW) with young Twiston Davies on board and claiming 7lb he is 2lb better off than his last winning mark and is plenty good enough to run a big race at this level with conditions that should suit.
5.35 Opera Buff is the standout horse for me in a pretty average Apprentice Handicap, which shouldnt take too much winning. His first run in Handicap company was on the AW which was his first time on that surface, and is switched back to turf today which should suit him, his best race to date was without doubt when he finished 8l behind Coup De Ville in Class 1 Listed Company, he has since raced in the 2000G and finished 5l behind the very talented Camelot, on that form alone my selection is much better than a 75 rated Handicapper and is a stand out EW bet. Interestingly Sylvester Kirk has two runners in this race today and any market move would be significant.
Haydock
2.00 Highland Duke 5/1 - one that has plenty of scope and was noted running on in a similar event LTO over 8f, with todays claimer he runs off a 7lb lower weight and the extra 2 furlongs should be enough for this progressive type to get off the mark in Handicap Company for a stable that does well in this type of race.
3.05 Tip Top Gorgeous 6/1 looked like a horse that would be winning a race soon LTO, when narrowly defeated by the very nice Sir Mark Prescott trained Athenian, today she drops a grade and has a useful 7lb claimer on board and should go close.
3.40 Macdillion 11/2 a rare Northern raid for trainer Stuart Kittow who sends this one to Haydock and is his only runner there today, suggesting he may be looking for the right type of race for him. Hasnt been at his best lately but off this lowely mark he wont be far away and showed plenty of promise LTO when finishing 2nd in a similar event LTO when beaten 4l by the short priced favourite.
4.50 Pistol 7/2 another sole runner at a Northern track for SMS, something that is becoming a tip on its own lately, however, after a very poor FTO in Handicap company the first time fitting of visors for Pistol may be enough to point him the direction of the winning line today.
5.25 Buzz Law 5/1 with his claimer on board today he runs off an absolutely cracking mark, noticeably there has been money for him this morning suggesting that the stable think he will go close, he is 8lb better of for his win over C&D in August last year.
Im off out on my bike now will be back later to pick up my millions, good luck today guys and girls be lucky
But that means i get to watch a bit more of the sport offered to us by the other sports on show today...
