Daily Racing Thread Friday 18th. March 2016

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If Superb Story is fancied in the County Hurdle then Beatabout The Bush must have very good claims at 8s in the big race...........at Fakenham. Finished 14 lengths behind Skelton's horse giving it 8lbs earlier in the season and is off a 16lb lower mark tomorrow when factoring in Gethins claim.
 
Two usually. In the County I am on three!
I am up on the week so gone a bit mad tonight. Although its been a "nearly" meeting for me with lots of placed horses in the handicaps. My biggest two bets have been on Vroum Vroum Mag and today the Vautour/Limini double, sure Beefy will pee himself if he reads that!
If BARTERS HILL wins tomorrow I am pretty sure I can kiss goodbye to one of my accounts!
 
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Bostonbob said:
Right, i've enjoyed Cheltenham this year and made my money so today is playing it up stakes, which will almost certainly mean i'll start drinking at 13.25, enjoy the Triumph as Zubayr steams in and then lose all that profit back as i get more inebriated.

1.30 Zubayr 5/1 each way (day 4 banker)

2.10 i'd happily have half the field in this although i won't lie because Chelsea's confidence has encouraged me to have a sheckle on Superb Story. All Yours and Modus tickle my fancy as well. Combo tricast for a laugh.

2.50 I hate Barters Hill's jumping and i love Long Dog so i've had a bit on Long Dog but the bigger Barters Hill gets the more attractive he is as a betting proposition. 4/1 is getting on the verge of being a daft price for a horse that's smashed everything despite being a crap jumper.

3.30 There's 5 horses with excellent credentials. I hate Don Poli's price. If you back this horse at this price you are a dick. I don't care if he wins. You can't back Don Poli at 4/1 based on anything other than hope he's better than he's shown. He might be better than he's shown but he needs to be 20lbs better to win this. No chance is he a 4/1 shot. It makes me sad people are backing him at this price. Don Cossack could easily win but i don't like his Cheltenham form. There's always a reason he's lost. Always an excuse. No. Again, the price is wrong. 5/2 isn't criminal but it's definitely bending the law. I put Djakadam up ages ago at a frankly incredible 16/1 but stupidly didn't back him. I'll still be claiming the victory if he wins. He's now 3/1. At 16/1 he's the greatest each way bet of all time. At 3/1 he's too short. Apparently he smashed Vautour on the gallops. If he did then you are looking at the winner. Again, it's not a class issue. I think he's more than good enough to win. I just think e's too short at 3/1. Smad Place - mmmmmm. That's how i feel about him. 9/1 Is fair. He will give everything a lovely tow and he'll place. Boring. Cue Card - 4/1. This is the bet. I think he definitely stays. He's been miles better than everything else this year bar Vautour who he beat anyway irrespective of the latters tactics that day. What's not to like about this horse on Friday? He might not win but he's undoubtedly the best price of the field.

4.10 On The Fringe 3/1 - that'll do pig. Nina messed up on Josies the other day. She won't this time. I hammered Paint The Clouds last time and he was beaten fair and square. No reason why they'd reverse the placings.

4.40 Whiteout - i don't thinks've ever watched this jockey which is a blow. Look at my preview evening chat for reasons but based on one piece of form from late last year she's thrown in off 135.

5.10 Rock The World - Jessies have run like a ****ing drain but i said this is my bet so i'm sticking with it. I'll almost certainly stake far too much on this useless bastard but that's Cheltenham and that's why i love it.
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Very poignantly put. I won't be surprised if Don Poli does win but to say "he only just does enough" against horses not even good enough to run in a Gold Cup vs against these contenders then his current price is mad. You're assuming there's loads left in the tank when, realistically, he's facing horses a minimum 10lb better (being kind) than what he's beaten.
 
ROTO said:
Very poignantly put. I won't be surprised if Don Poli does win but to say "he only just does enough" against horses not even good enough to run in a Gold Cup vs against these contenders then his current price is mad. You're assuming there's loads left in the tank when, realistically, he's facing horses a minimum 10lb better (being kind) than what he's beaten.
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Cheers mate. I do have a way with words.
 
Final arrows:

Triumph - got my ante post on Gibralfaro and hoping he might nick a place. Not backing anything else but Apple's Jade is a big price .................
County - Great Field could be absolutely anything but I think he is a lot better than 147. Win bet. Have a free bet left so might go e/w Montbazon too.
Albert Bartlett - €5 e/w West Approach at 100/1
Gold Cup - am on Don Poli ante post and will have a sentimental saver on Cue Card
Foxhunters - may back On The Fringe depending on price and how I'm doing. Sneaky e/w on Victoria too, love to hear stick's rant if she wins <laugh>
Martin Pipe - the 2 I put up in the preview (Roadie Joe and Jetstream Jack) both got in so it would be rude not to back them
Grand Annual - Lough Kent to round off a memorable week for Mr Henderson and Mrs Mould.

BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE !!!!
 
I've placed a bit on Smad Place this afternoon out of a bit of sentiment as he's won me a fair chunk over the past year. Don't expect him to win, but is a lovely looking horse.
 
I've got a suspicion that STD wasn't on Zubayr first time out because he'd already decided to ride Connetable in the Triumph. Had a little at 14/1
 
Would you guys believe me if I said I'm waiting on ZUBAYR and CUE CARD for an 8 timer?!

I have the first 6 legs up and have them all in trebles and upwards. I contacted Sky for a potential cash out but they aren't willing to offer one as the bet was struck on Monday of this week and counts as antepost?!

Made plenty already but I have never been this close to landing a whale - I'm fraggled and I've been up since the early hours!!
 
DreverSpur said:
Would you guys believe me if I said I'm waiting on ZUBAYR and CUE CARD for an 8 timer?!

I have the first 6 legs up and have them all in trebles and upwards. I contacted Sky for a potential cash out but they aren't willing to offer one as the bet was struck on Monday of this week and counts as antepost?!

Made plenty already but I have never been this close to landing a whale - I'm fraggled and I've been up since the early hours!!
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I'm in the exact same position but with Superb + Cue Card, n a few with Aupcharlie. I've got about 7 accumalators all £1-£5 consisting mainly of sprinter, douvan, annie power, vroum vroum and thistlecrack with the ones above, and 2 with cause of causes in
 
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Best of luck to the both of you Chelsea and Drever. Would round of an excellent week if Cue Card could win the gold cup and I don't just mean from a betting perspective.
 
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Will stick with me old Cue Card in the big one. As I said before, doesn't owe me a sausage, starting off with that bumper win at Fontwell in 2010, and that extraordinary long-odds win NTO in the Champion Bumper. Thought of having a saver, but cannot figure-out which 'Don' to back! Just had a couple of modest bets so far, both horses tried their best but were not good enough as was their punter! Some great successes on the forum this Festival meeting, very well done fellahs, keep up the good work on the last day! <ok>
 
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