Election 2024

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How are Labour doing after their first 12 months

  • Total voters
    23
brb said:
The Yougov poll yesterday is way out compared to this Exit poll....outcomes the same, but a big difference from 212 majority to 170, and how the fook did Reform get 13 seats...
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Welshie said:
I just cannot forsee them getting 13, it's nuts.

But I mean, maybe we all just completely underestimated their popularity.
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Yeah, this. If they even get more than 10 it’s a big result for them and will give them plenty of momentum with Farage regularly speaking in the commons.
 
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I love the way that Blyth and Sunderland race to be the first to declare, with volunteers running around with ballot boxes

Adds a ‘it’s a knockout’ kinda feel to it all <laugh>
 
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Saf said:
Yeah, this. If they even get more than 10 it’s a big result for them and will give them plenty of momentum with Farage regularly speaking in the commons.
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I was sat here thinking 3 would be a fantastic result. New party, already more seats than the Greens.

We are now sat here talking about 10.
 
brb said:
That's just bonkers, I agree no way can that be right, surely!...
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I thought they’d pick up a lot of votes from disgruntled Tory voters.

But 13 seats would be a scalp for them.
 
Saf said:
Yeah, this. If they even get more than 10 it’s a big result for them and will give them plenty of momentum with Farage regularly speaking in the commons.
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Can't remember what I predicted now, I think it was 4...13 seats is just whoooa.

I think the banging on about the 212 majority by SKY last night has not helped this.

But even so, all good for Labour and Starmer as we expected.
 
Ooo Pinkie, Mogg has a 47% chance of winning his seat.

Hunt is gone.

Lib Dems winning here.
 
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Rees-Mogg has a predicted 47% chance of holding his seat. That’s a surprise. He was supposed to be a goner. Jeremy hunt 19% chance of winning his seat. Penny Mordaunt 25% chance.
 
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Saf said:
Rees-Mogg has a predicted 47% chance of holding his seat. That’s a surprise. He was supposed to be a goner. Jeremy hunt 19% chance of winning his seat. Penny Mordaunt 25% chance.
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Yeah, I expected those Penny and Mogg numbers to be swapped.
 
Welshie said:
Ooo Pinkie, Mogg has a 47% chance of winning his seat.

Hunt is gone.

Lib Dems winning here.
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Loved the part where she pointed out that Steve Baker has less than a 1% chance of retaining his seat, whilst Steve baker was sitting 5 yards away on the studio panel <laugh>
 
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Respect to that Tory sitting there admitting they've lost and he's lost his own seat.

No bullshitting.

Yeah, Baker that's his name <laugh>
 
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