Let's think about this. For Wigan to get 5 points from 3 games I'd estimate is a 10-15% chance. Then for the other teams to all get above 39(considering our GD), maybe 30-40%. Chance of us getting 0 points from the last 2, let's call it 25%. So that's a 1.3% chance of relegation, or 80/1 if you prefer

It will come down to the last game - both Sunderland and Stoke are sides I think our high-tempo pressing game is less effective against. If the venues were reversed - I think we would beat Sunderland at home but loose at Stoke. As it stands; at best a point from the Stoke game, as I think De Canio has put fire in the bellies of the Sunderland team - so a point will be hard to get, especially as we are having troubles scoring at the moment.