Daily Thread - Sunday 4th August

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SwanHills said:
Good day to you all!

Uncle, thanks for your lengthy comments above, will take a good look at those you mention, as I need a lot of help on the Flat especially! Thanks too for the paragraphing; usually I require oxygen assistance to complete reading your posts! <laugh> Just kidding!
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Swan my apologies for your extensive misuse of oxygen lol.
Most of the time I am rushing or posting on my phone its probably good that I don't know all the text lingo !
 
Uncle, you do very well. There's no way I could post on a phone, however smart it is. The old PC will have to do for me! Good luck today!
 
smokethedeadbadger said:
I'm on Able Master 8/1 in this backed it a few times and going to stick with it
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12s available on able master fovourite is withdrew for I would assume obvious reasons :grin:
On times and weights at this distance verses of love could and should be eased over the line good luck as always though smokey
 
SwanHills said:
Uncle, you do very well. There's no way I could post on a phone, however smart it is. The old PC will have to do for me! Good luck today!
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Pc what era are you in swan ? galaxy tablet for me it is ace ! although everybody looks at me strangly on the train looking at page after page of racing lol
 
Some nice racing here and across the the sea. Intend to watch it later so have a nice little win lucky 15 on the following:
Lethal Force and Last Mohican @ Deauville
Toner D' Oudaries @ Galway
Saddaqa @ Newbury

Good luck all
 
Last Mohican Chan? Hope that isn't an omen. Freudian Slip?
 
Dalaki ran green on his debut at Leicester, I know Clive Brittain can be zealous with most of the Group race entries he makes, but this one is entered in the Dewhurst. Kieron Fallon takes the ride, and it's priced up at 8/1 for the 2.00 at Chester.
 
Given the travel and the fact he only raced again a few weeks ago im gonna stick with Moonlight Cloud in the big race today. Theres no doubt Lethal Force has improved immensely but i cant see him giving away weight to this 3x group 1 winner.

Gone with the forums selections for todays viewing in a EW L15.

Daliance(Stick)
Toner D'Oudairies(Oddy)
Intermath(Bluesky)
Dalaki(London man)
 
QuarterMoonII said:
The Listed race at Newbury (3:50) appears to largely revolve around favourite Songbird, unbeaten in two starts but not seen out for nearly two months. She holds an entry in the Yorkshire Oaks so she would be expected to win this comfortably if she is going to keep an appointment at the Ebor meeting. Last time she collected a three-runner event at Yarmouth without turning a hair and the extra furlong will be no problem. I am, however, going to oppose her. Luca Cumani’s filly Kikonga easily collected a nine-runner Ascot handicap last time and I see no reason to believe that she is not up to Listed class if Lady Cecil’s filly disappoints.
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Cracking race this QM and you have hit the nail on the head when you say "if Lady Cecil’s filly disappoints.". She should win this but with other nice fillies in the race, notably Kikonga and Seal Of Approval, I think the 141/100 odds for Songbird are very stingy indeed.
 
Chester 14.30 Gramercy 5/1

Last and only time Fallon rode this one he was beaten 3¼L in a G3 at Ascot over 6f. Would have got a little closer but for being squeezed out in last 75yds. Never in it behind Tropics last time out. The Fallon booking does look interesting given the step up in trip. Expected bigger odds than this so maybe there has been some smart money on.
 
4.15 Chester - Boogangoo 9/2

Off the mark cosily last time out in a maiden and now on its handicap debut it is on a 400mile+ round trip to chester. That alone is ringing alarm bells. The horse he finished 3rd too the race before Azagal, went on to win again off a mark of 79 and ran again also yesterday behind the very impressive J J Wonder off 87.
 
Dalaki was backed in the opener at Chester from 6/1 to 7/2, ran no sort of race! Dewhurst entry looks very optimistic now!
 
uncle cracker said:
Good morning all bad day for me yesterday a few 4ths and out of the places but thats often the case when you go for good odds,
I have been up since 6 deliberating on the chester 230 not a race I would normally try to pick apart and put back together but one horse stands out currently a 12s-14s with value stamped on it . The favourite ascription currently 4s or less does have a chance at this but 4s is to small in a race that could go anyway . This race has three strong front runners so under normal rules I would look at the likes of the mid division and hold up horses which however is jockey dependant to make it even harder!
Able master usually likes the front looks to weighted for todays race although a very good horse and in form
Lord of the dance weighted
Chosen charecter could run from the front or mid division looks slightly weighted
Ascription hold up or tracker (tracker I would asume today if the front runners are given to much it will stand no chance)
Gramercy weighted /unknown distance
Shebebi front runner weighted
Tellovi unproven
Ortack rock nicely weighted but mid division horse
Day of the eagle weighted
Green park weight plus distance questionable
One scoop or two is another that could place depending on how the race is run
The horse that got my attention had a mind blowing run three or four weeks ago from the front if I remember right (take note if you asked me who I backed yesterday I wouldn't be able to tell you ) . There is the burn out chance still but it wont change my mind as VERSES OF LOVE is well weighted for a hard front run race.
At the odds I will trust my instinct ew as usual this has all the chance of getting unclecracker doing the fat boy shuffle .
Back at your own risk these are my 1hr plus efforts at this race.
Good luck all
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Good job I wasnt going upagainst pbew with that one stick unexposed tellovi at top price takes it oh well
Does anyone know what the conditions are at todays tracks I'm sure atr is lieing to me lol
 
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