Right guys. I am in a scenario where i think when i say the next one half those voting off me will switch to me and lynch me but i feel its time to say it.
(swarbs said why not say it earlier)
Question: why did valley report non town on me when I know I am town drunk
Evidence:
night one result: Post 574
http://www.not606.com/threads/afcftw-mafia-game.303261/page-29#post-8023920
“An investigation last night and Tobes was identified as not being a member of the Town.
The poster who kept changing votes in the last few moments was seen running away with a bloodied knife in his hand near IBWTs sliced and diced body. This person is a Liverpool MOD.”
Night 2 result: post 1242
http://www.not606.com/threads/afcftw-mafia-game.303261/page-63#post-8026989
“My investigation reveals MITO to be NON TOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Therefore I vote the lying twat MITO.”
Rules: “Psychic - the psychic spends his time studying the mystic and is able to read the aura of other town members. The psychic can choose to investigate one person each night but will only receive a town, or non-town read.”
Obi wan info: "Valley was seen chewing on salami in Luigi's restaurant, seemingly giving orders to someone."
Obviously the evidence nobody can believe is that I am town drunk
Theories:
1. Valley is mafia and has really pulled a stunt.
2. Valley is the psychic and got a bad result
3. Valley is the psychic and was deliberately fed wrong info
Any other possibilities? I am struggling to think of any.
My Suppositions? Remember i am just giving my opinion
1. valley is mafia.. don’t dismiss it out of hand but when you find the truth come back to this question but come back to this… why? I have to say the thing i think about is the tobes factor. Why did valley out tobes early... I have no idea... but then why did tobes court votes? why did he say he was the cartel. why did he say he was after the fully house. I dismissed the obi wan stuff as he was non town.
So I thought hmm.. this is tenuous at best... BUT... here it is. What common denominator exists between factors?
valley.
who would have known who killed IBWT.. the mafia of course
Who would have know the method before hand so he pm i got would align with results. The mafia
Who could have revealed it: the mafia
Who then knew i was outing myself as drunk: the mafia
who said he'd investigate me: valley.
and finally who then said I was non town.. valley.
If valley was mafia all along that ties up SOME of the strings that i am seeing
HOWEVER... the thing that doesn't still add up. Why on earth kill tobes your team mate... makes no real sense. was it a convienent coming together of stuff that if he dies he gets the mafia a reward? Rememebr my complex game guys the mafia game 5 had rules stating they could earn stuff similar to this. AFC played that game.
BUt again still Nobody else has claimed to be Psychic. surely just like disproving me someone would say hang on here you are up to stuff and would have saved tobes.
Therefore this scenario is troubling me. The fact that it ties up some of the things i know is good but the other two are just so perplexing it'd have to be wrong?
I want you guys to think hard when i die and see i am Drunk. was this possible?
2. A bad result?
The rules don’t show why he would get one. I’m the one with the 2/3rds chance not him. The rules don’t say he is a bad psychic.
Is there some hidden thing? Valley did not say. therefore i am less inclined to believe this one.
3. Valley got deliberately fed bad info.
Night one he got tobes right. He was not known to the town at that point.
Night 2 he gets bad info but is known to town.
Everyone knew he was investigating me.
It does add up that some party fed him bad info in this case.
....................................
I cannot prove any this to you guys if you only want hard evidence and that means i must die. number 3 seem most plausible at this point in the game. don't discount no 1.
Again the facts you need proof on are:
1. MITO is town drunk
2. Valley statement is wrong.
3. MITO claimed investigation is tennis, right or wrong.
I cannot prove any without dying. The suggestion to kill tennis to see if i w