We might be over-estimating the power of the Prez here. I think others will be influencing the real decisions on NATO and active defence policies.So predictions:
Internally (USA)
Errosion equal rights, what's left of freedom of the press. freedom of the individual.
Worsening race relations with even heavier handed law enforcement in minority areas.
Globally
Well I think Environmental Protection is dead. Trump is a denier and Russia and China will jump on it.
Assad will have his state reinstated by a combined Russian/US support.
US war with Iran..nuclear agreement will be torn up, they'll react and Trump will react...might not be long enough for this to happen over 4 years but..I predict an Iran takeover of Iraq. will Trump accept this as stability in the region being forced from within or will he react?
Step up in Russian imperialism in Eastern Europe. while I think Trump will give voice to continued support to NATO now he'll not give enough to allow any substantial reaction to Russian movement in this area.
Trade protectionism particular with China (the Mexico thing is mweh with regards to global security).
Instability in the south China Sea area..China can't afford a trade war...they'll become increasingly imperialist in this area...Will Trump really leave Japan, South Korea and Taiwan to deal with themselves? Either way...increased chance of a hot war in area eventually. China will also become more aggressive in expanding its sphere of influence on the African continent.
Bounce back economic downturn globally and in the US if Trump puts through his economic plans. only manufacturing jobs he'll be able to create are military ...so he'll need a couple of wars to justify that...deficit will become a joke word.
While I'm not quite thinking domino effect. both this and Brexit might energise far right in Germany, France, Poland etc...
Yay! welcome to the 1930's
However, I agree that environmental protection is now in deep ****, because none of the powerful vested interests give a toss about the environment anyway if it stands in the way of profit. So Trump has a few ways in which to engineer the end of the world.
Eliot may turn out to be right "This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang, but a whimper."
