Yup, he may have a chance. Brexit and the 2015 General Election polls turned out to be completely wrong.
On another note, I agree with Happy. It's easy to disregard Trump as stupid because of his bigotry but I think people underestimate his intelligence. He's a scumbag, no doubt, but I genuinely think a lot of the bigotry he spouts is a charade to win over America's bigoted population who've been left behind by the worst excesses of capitalism who think they've got nothing to lose. Deep down, he's probably somewhat of a liberal, both economically and socially. Remember, a few years ago he used to be best pals with a lot of liberals and Democrats, the Clintons included. He's seen what has happened under successive Republican and Democrat administrations and he's thought to himself 'I can tap into that disillusionment and distrust of establishment politics for my own benefit'. Huey Morgan made a really good point of Question Time last week about how a lot of Americans, both moderates and conservatives, are sick of establishment politics and politicians. They're willing to go to extreme lengths and support a maverick firebrand who's an outsider to politics because they want change. He's still an arsehole though. Even if he isn't personally racist or an extreme bigot, pretending to be those things out of sheer opportunism to win votes is equally is bad. He's a charlatan. If he did win, I highly doubt he'd enact any of the crazy policies he's proposing; one because he doesn't believe in it himself and two because Congress would block him at every turn. Half the Republican party are against him. There are a lot of Republican senators who would veto his proposals even if he tried to push them through. It's one of the reasons why I think he's less dangerous than Clinton. He wouldn't get anything done during his four year administration and after those four years the Americans might start to take their republic a little more seriously and start to question their partisan system.
