Some observations of the vote (published before Crabb's exit.) It questions at the end if the members should vote against the obvious party candidate. They are speaking about if May were to get 2:1:1 in the final ballot in terms of her vs opposition candidates.
http://www.conservativehome.com/the...-want-her-should-party-members-defy-them.html
A couple of useful comments (the first being a party member
Given a high number of MP's have very recently ignored their party members and the electorate at large I wouldn't feel any compulsion to abide by their top choice of candidate
And 2 replies to that comment:
Reply 1 Very dangerous game supporting May. If anyone's motives are questionable it's hers. Opts for Remain Reply 1
- then spends 6 weeks hiding under her desk. Safe pair of hands? Or just done nothing?
She is a vote for Continuity Cameron and an open invitation to NUKIP in 2020.
(reply 2 )
Ignored their party members how?
It just shows how the members do not really like May in anywhere near the ratios that the party like her. It isn't as bad as a PLP vs members likeing Corbyn but there is a seep distrust of May and there is substantial questioning of her qualities to the point of asking why she is so highly thought of when she hasn;t really achieved anything in her position.
On the flip side Leadsom hasn't achieved anything because she has never been near the top. This though is seen by some as being able to bring something new, something fresh to the top table and others see her as a more humane, more appealing person than May.
Remember PM is a figurehead position. They have the ultimate decision making but it is those below that shape policy and tactics. It is a team thing.
At this point I still think Leadsom would get this at a member's ballot but today's vote means that it would be much closer to the point that I would not put any money on it. There are some seeds of doubt in the members now that Leadsom only managed 66.
The frustration with the members is that of the 3 they would vote Gove. However I think Gove knew he would be tarred from the decision he made last week and was going into this race as a backstop to Leadsom.
We shall see.