It's circumstantial, it's never on paper.
If United are sitting in a Europa League spot on match day 38 before kick off and the team behind us can still catch us with a win, I'd bet my house on LVG gifting the game to Hull, we don't want that stupid competition.
Bad refereeing decisions, red cards, injuries etc, none of that goes on fixture lists.
You can tell a lot more by how teams are playing imo, QPR and Leicester look ****ing awful, as do Sunderland but you lot may yet pull it out the bag as you've made a huge change this week.