Tried remembering to account for our respective seasons in the guestimate results.
2011-2012
L-D-D-L (games 1-4, Brendan Rodgers)
- Man City (a), Wigan (h), Sunderland (h), Arsenal (a) - 4 pts (2pts = 2 pts dropped - 0.5 per game)
D-L-D-L (games 11-14, Brendan Rodgers) -
- Liverpool (a), Man Utd (h), Villa (h), Blackburn (a) - 4 pts (2 pts = 2 pts dropped - 0.5 per game)
D-L-D-D (games 16-19, Brendan Rodgers)
- Newcaslte (a), Everton (a), QPR (h), Spurs (h) - 3 pts (3 pts = 0 pts dropped = good return)
L-L-L-L (games 30-33, Brendan Rodgers)
- Everton (h), Spurs (a), Newcastle (h), Qpr (a) - 2 pts (0pts = 2 pts dropped - 0.5 per game)
So although a few 4 game winless runs, considering hte teams, it wasn't too bad.
2012-2013
D-L-L-L-D (games 3-7, Michael Laudrup)
- Sunderland (h), Villa (a), Everton (h), Stoke (a), Reading (h) = 8 points (2 pts - 6 pts dropped - 1.2 per game)
L-L-D-D (games 16-19, Michael Laudrup)
- Norwich (h), Spurs (a), Man Utd (h), Reading (a) - 4 pts (2 pts - 2 pts dropped - 0.5 per game)
L-L-L-D-D-L-D (games 29-35, Michael Laudrup)
West Brom (a), Arsenal (h), Spurs (h), Norwich (a), Southampton (h), Chelsea (a), Man city (h) - 5 pts (3 pts - 2 pts dropped - 0.3 per game)
2013-2014
D-D-L-L-D-L-L-L (games 15-22, Michael Laudrup)
- Hull (a), Norwich (a), Everton (h), Chelsea (a), Villa (a), Man City (h). Man u (a), Spurs (h) - 3 pts (3 pts - 0 pts dropped - good return)
D-L-D-L-L-D (games 26-31, Garry Monk)
- Stoke (a), Liverpool (a), Palace (h), West Brom (h), Everton (a), Arsenal (a) - 7 pts (3 pts, 4 pts dropped - 0.7 per game)
So up til then although winless runs, the results themselves were not overly unexpected, well bar the first by Laudrup, in which we lost a fair few points we expected. But then we have our current.
Chelsea (a), Southampton (h), Sunderland (a), Newcastle (h), Stoke (a) - 10 pts (2 pts, 8 pts dropped - 1.6 per game)
The points for this were wins v Southampton, Newcastle and Sunderland (cant have them as an expected away draw, just feel we are that much better than them, sorry) and an away draw to stoke.
Even if we were to say 8 pts with a draw at sunderland, we would drop 6 points in 5 games = 1.2 per game, on par with Lauduprs worst run of games as a points per game loss ratio.