I'll start off this thread with a preview from Timeform
Cesarewitch Preview: Mor to come from Quinn’s versatile charge
By Timeform's Joe Rendall -- published 7th October 2014
Joe Rendall looks ahead to a wide-open renewal of Newmarket’s prestigious staying handicap on Saturday...
As the nights begin to draw in and the weather turns decidedly autumnal, racing fans tend to do one of two things. A small minority choose between sustained exposure to all-weather racing or long term hibernation until the turf season rolls round again. Those who remain, the vastly preferable option in my opinion, must turn their mind to the fast-approaching jumps season. Saturday’s Cesarewitch, apart from being an intriguing puzzle in its own right, is a helpful stepping stone in the adjustment process. Jumps trainers and horses are often in the mix for the valuable staying contest, helping to stir the memory banks of national hunt form that have lain dormant since April, and this year is no different.
Dual-purpose performer Quick Jack is the current ante-post favourite for the race, and although handler Tony Martin has issued a warning that his participation is very much ground-dependent, the fact he’s half the price of everything in the field means he is a logical starting point. A look through his recent form with five wins and four placed efforts from his last nine starts will tell you he’s consistent. The fact his Timeform rating has jumped from 72 to 104 on the flat and 102 to 130p over jumps in that period will tell you he’s progressive too. He’s won over an extended two miles at Cheltenham so shouldn’t struggle with the 18-furlong trip he encounters at Newmarket and his win when last seen at Galway in July proves he’s effective off the back of a break as well. It looks as though he’s a clear favourite for a reason then, and I would struggle to put you off backing him if you were so inclined. I do think there is a better bet in the race though.
We won’t have to look far either, as nestled just below Quick Jack in the market at around double the price is Swnymor. He’s another dual-purpose performer, and to tie things off rather neatly his key piece of form with regards to Saturday’s race is his sixth behind Quick Jack. It came in the aforementioned race at the Galway Festival, and in truth Swnymor was unlucky not to finish a lot closer. Having been dropped out early he found himself with a fair amount to do two furlongs out, and was forced very wide around the home turn. The manner in which he kept on to the line and the fact he finished with plenty of running left both suggest there was a good deal more to come on that occasion, and had he got more luck he might be a good deal shorter in the Cesarewitch betting than he is now. However that’s no hardship for us and as you suspect this race has been the plan ever since, he looks an excellent each-way bet at odds of around 14/1.
There is a long list of interesting contenders as there always are for these types of contest, not least Big Easy and Ray Ward who occupied second and third respectively in the designated trial over course and distance a fortnight or so ago. Big Easy, another dual-purpose performer,ran a fine race to fill the runner-up spot and might have reversed the narrow margin of victory had he not been forced to delay his effort at a crucial stage. Nevertheless it was a creditable effort on the back of four months off the track, and should have him primed for Saturday’s big race. The only worry is whether his bottomless stamina might see him caught for a bit of toe by some of the speedier types. Any significant rainfall would certainly help his chances but there’s enough doubts surrounding his speed to look elsewhere.
Ray Ward heads the list out out-and-out flat performers and was a close third at Newmarket last time, also putting in creditable performance on the back of a break. He’s had a more conventional route to the Cesarewtich having finished second in the marathon Goodwood Stakes prior to that, and his stamina clearly isn’t in doubt. In truth he’s looked an ideal candidate for this race since shaping better than his sixth suggested in the Ascot Stakes back in June, and it’s unlikely we’ve seen the best of him over staying trips. He’s sure to be suited by the stronger gallop he will get on Saturday and few will be stronger at the finish, and I’ve no doubt he will feature in many ante-post portfolios. The only concern I’d have about backing him at this stage is that he’s raced only on good going or firmer, and with the forecast looking unsettled for the next few days he may not encounter ideal conditions.
We must also give a mention to Nearly Caught, who ran a decent race in the Ebor last time considering he was overcoming a three-month absence and found the emphasis to be too much on speed. He would be suited if conditions were on the easy side as his best turf form has been on ground softer than good and the extra two furlongs are likely to play to his strengths too. The fact he’s only had three runs in almost a year niggles slightly, either because he’s more ground dependent than his form has shown or he doesn’t have the strongest constitution. Either way, whilst he remains of interest you feel those previously discussed are within the same price bracket and make better appeal at this stage.
Interesting contenders with form in both codes is not unusual for a Cesarewitch market and to pick out a single ante-post proposition has been harder this week than most. However, in Swnymor we have a horse who is talented, equipped with the right blend of speed and stamina, and arrives off the back of an eye-catching effort with the potential for better.
Recommendation:
Back Swnymor E/W in the Cesarewitch
Cesarewitch Preview: Mor to come from Quinn’s versatile charge
By Timeform's Joe Rendall -- published 7th October 2014
Joe Rendall looks ahead to a wide-open renewal of Newmarket’s prestigious staying handicap on Saturday...
As the nights begin to draw in and the weather turns decidedly autumnal, racing fans tend to do one of two things. A small minority choose between sustained exposure to all-weather racing or long term hibernation until the turf season rolls round again. Those who remain, the vastly preferable option in my opinion, must turn their mind to the fast-approaching jumps season. Saturday’s Cesarewitch, apart from being an intriguing puzzle in its own right, is a helpful stepping stone in the adjustment process. Jumps trainers and horses are often in the mix for the valuable staying contest, helping to stir the memory banks of national hunt form that have lain dormant since April, and this year is no different.
Dual-purpose performer Quick Jack is the current ante-post favourite for the race, and although handler Tony Martin has issued a warning that his participation is very much ground-dependent, the fact he’s half the price of everything in the field means he is a logical starting point. A look through his recent form with five wins and four placed efforts from his last nine starts will tell you he’s consistent. The fact his Timeform rating has jumped from 72 to 104 on the flat and 102 to 130p over jumps in that period will tell you he’s progressive too. He’s won over an extended two miles at Cheltenham so shouldn’t struggle with the 18-furlong trip he encounters at Newmarket and his win when last seen at Galway in July proves he’s effective off the back of a break as well. It looks as though he’s a clear favourite for a reason then, and I would struggle to put you off backing him if you were so inclined. I do think there is a better bet in the race though.
We won’t have to look far either, as nestled just below Quick Jack in the market at around double the price is Swnymor. He’s another dual-purpose performer, and to tie things off rather neatly his key piece of form with regards to Saturday’s race is his sixth behind Quick Jack. It came in the aforementioned race at the Galway Festival, and in truth Swnymor was unlucky not to finish a lot closer. Having been dropped out early he found himself with a fair amount to do two furlongs out, and was forced very wide around the home turn. The manner in which he kept on to the line and the fact he finished with plenty of running left both suggest there was a good deal more to come on that occasion, and had he got more luck he might be a good deal shorter in the Cesarewitch betting than he is now. However that’s no hardship for us and as you suspect this race has been the plan ever since, he looks an excellent each-way bet at odds of around 14/1.
There is a long list of interesting contenders as there always are for these types of contest, not least Big Easy and Ray Ward who occupied second and third respectively in the designated trial over course and distance a fortnight or so ago. Big Easy, another dual-purpose performer,ran a fine race to fill the runner-up spot and might have reversed the narrow margin of victory had he not been forced to delay his effort at a crucial stage. Nevertheless it was a creditable effort on the back of four months off the track, and should have him primed for Saturday’s big race. The only worry is whether his bottomless stamina might see him caught for a bit of toe by some of the speedier types. Any significant rainfall would certainly help his chances but there’s enough doubts surrounding his speed to look elsewhere.
Ray Ward heads the list out out-and-out flat performers and was a close third at Newmarket last time, also putting in creditable performance on the back of a break. He’s had a more conventional route to the Cesarewtich having finished second in the marathon Goodwood Stakes prior to that, and his stamina clearly isn’t in doubt. In truth he’s looked an ideal candidate for this race since shaping better than his sixth suggested in the Ascot Stakes back in June, and it’s unlikely we’ve seen the best of him over staying trips. He’s sure to be suited by the stronger gallop he will get on Saturday and few will be stronger at the finish, and I’ve no doubt he will feature in many ante-post portfolios. The only concern I’d have about backing him at this stage is that he’s raced only on good going or firmer, and with the forecast looking unsettled for the next few days he may not encounter ideal conditions.
We must also give a mention to Nearly Caught, who ran a decent race in the Ebor last time considering he was overcoming a three-month absence and found the emphasis to be too much on speed. He would be suited if conditions were on the easy side as his best turf form has been on ground softer than good and the extra two furlongs are likely to play to his strengths too. The fact he’s only had three runs in almost a year niggles slightly, either because he’s more ground dependent than his form has shown or he doesn’t have the strongest constitution. Either way, whilst he remains of interest you feel those previously discussed are within the same price bracket and make better appeal at this stage.
Interesting contenders with form in both codes is not unusual for a Cesarewitch market and to pick out a single ante-post proposition has been harder this week than most. However, in Swnymor we have a horse who is talented, equipped with the right blend of speed and stamina, and arrives off the back of an eye-catching effort with the potential for better.
Recommendation:
Back Swnymor E/W in the Cesarewitch
wouldn't want another George Washington on their hands.
