Daily thread Thursday 01 August

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ROTO said:
4.55 Galway

Missunited 9/1 & Hisaabaat 18/1

This looks a top class renewal of the Galway Hurdle and with horrific weather forecast its going to be a massive slog and given that none of the first 5 home in the Galway Plate yesterday carried more than 10-11 I'm concentrating on those at the foot of the handicap. Granted, 2 miles over hurdles isn't the same as 2m6f over fences but a low weight in the likely dire conditions looks key and the two I have come up with are Missunited and Hisaabaat. Looking first at Missunited, this top notch dual purpose mare represents the shrewd Michael Winters who won this last year with Rebel Fitz and he seems to have protected this 6 year olds lovely mark of 134 on what will be her handicap debut. An easy winner at the course over 18f back in September beating the talented mare Zuzka, Missunited landed a pretty decent Grade 3 hurdle back in March beating Twigline in what looks useful form. Although she bombed out in a Grade 1 at Fairyhouse on her final start over hurdles later that month, she has been in fine fettle on the flat finishing 2nd in 3 consecutive Listed contests and although a bit disappointing at Roscommon earlier this month I am sure her trainer will have her spot on for this and judged on her flat/hurdling exploits a mark of 134 seems very fair. Robbie Power takes the ride on Missunited for the first time today and the very testing conditions should pose no problem to her. Another point that could prove crucial is that Missunited is a stout stayer who has won over 1m6f on the flat and that stamina could prove crucial in a race that will clearly take a lot of getting home. With Michael Winters knowing what it takes to win the race, Missunited has clearly been laid out for this and off a lovely racing weight of 10-8 I think she's got a superb chance of winning this having proven course form in the book.

I would have been kicking myself for not having backed Hisaabaat if he wins given his claims are so obvious judged on last seasons form and although he has proven a shadow of himself on numerous occasions this season if the 'King of Ballybrit' Dermot Weld has plotted him up and has him back to his best today then I don't think he'll be beaten. Runner up to subsequent Champion Hurdle 3rd Countrywide Flame in the Triumph Hurdle and a Grade 1 winner either side of that at Leopardstown and Punchestown, Hisaabaat showed outstanding form in his juvenile campaign but to say he has been abysmal this year is an understatement. Comprehensively beaten in 4 hurdle outings and a flat race this year, Hisaabaat has looked nothing like the horse he was last year but he has resultantly fallen to a mark of 134 which makes him look ridiculously well handicapped on last seasons form. Despite being so poor this season, Dermot Weld sounded quite bullish on ATR yesterday about his chances and if the legendary trainer can apply the midas touch he could scoot in here with a first time visor. With a definite liking for testing conditions, the very talented Michael Nolan comes across to his homeland for this one ride and takes over a very valuable 3lb to give Hisaabaat a lovely racing weight of just 10-4 and if the Hisaabaat of last year shows up then 18/1 will look a ridiculous price. If he's completely gone off the ball then he'll finish out with the washing here but if Weld has indeed plotted him up for the race specifically and he's back to himself then I don't think Hisaabaat will beaten and at 18/1 I'm definitely willing to take that chance.
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Unbelievable for Michael Winters small stable to win the hurdle twice in a row. Great dual purpose mare. Hisaabaat finally shows something this season to finish 5th for a bit of place money too.
 
CaptainPops said:
I think Pythagorean is vulnerable again to trouble in running at a course like Goodwood. I like the look of Majestic Moon each way at 10/1 although wont have a bet. His running style will surely put him in for a top 4 finish?? He s not been out of the first 4 in his life except for finishing 8th of 8th on unsuitably heavy ground. Paul Hanagan takes the ride - he's being utilised when he can be by Fahey - a big plus too..

Im almost talking myself in for an unusual mid week bet here !!! Still discipline rules so waving my no bet flag................
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oops gotta smile.......i hate it when that happens!!!!!!
 
The Master of Glesga said:
<laugh> Send them round, I might need them if Doyle manages to get him beat again!

I reckon he is about 105 -110 class, so hes Group class for me, good enough to run in Group 3s, he was up there with Dundonnell on homework as a 2yo so he ought to be better than a handicapper.

Dont forget he had absolutely no chance of winning either of his last two starts, he done well to get as close as he did last time and would have won 3 or 4 lengths with any sort of run, Doyle has had a nightmare.

The day he got beat at Newbury as a 2yo I was convinced he had a group engine and I remain convinced.
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Managed to get him beaten again I presume Joe. Winner all out to hold of fast finishing Pythagorean by a nose. Getting closer though, 4th, 3rd and second. MUST win next time, surely - he should have 11111 in front of his name.
 
Can't decide whether to back saddlers risk in the 7.45 at ffos las. On form he should win comfortably but I've given up on 'form' in flat racing. I know it will win if I don't back it and lose if i do!
 
uncle cracker said:
Afternoon all struggling to find anything good lately so small lucky 31 and one ew
Missed call 2nd
Brown Pete nr
Oil strike nr
Not rigg 7th
Hunting rights
The ew I will have a go on has yet to have won on turf but things may be right so I will take a chanceon Rosie lady another I may ew yet to win on turf isyoung Dottie good luck all
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BOOOOOOM young dottie BOOOOOOM 50/1 SHOTWINS BOOOOOOM
 
again fantastic tipping on here today! Pity I have a shi**y phone and can't access this site at work! what about Galway...5 favourites winning! there will be some sick bookies tonight!

Myself I need the favourite in the last here at Ffos Las to save the day and yet its on the drift...story of my trebles really! <grr>
 
day saved...phew! <party> gonna have a read now at tomorrow and see. After listening to atr there before the last race they said ground will be good, good to firm in places tomorrow :grin::grin:

Anyone want to start the thread ??
 
Makes up for a few bad days chaps cheers
Stick you should know yourself its hard to pick a 5/1 shot I studied todays racing for 3hrs and the best two ew bets I could find wherethose mentioned at the bottom I knew they had a good chance
 
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