Apart from anything else, Morgan knows that he is now one of very few players whose place in the team is pretty much nailed down, Wanyama notwithstanding. Even if we get Ever Banega, Morgan will play most games. On the other hand, if Morgan goes to a top 4 club he will have to work that much harder just to get in the team, which might make him an even better player in the long term, but it will seem like an uphill struggle after all he has done to get us to, and keep us in the Prem. I think he would rather make the push to help us get to the top half and challenge for European places, but what do I know? He might just think "World Cup next year, must play in the CL to get noticed". We will just have to see.