Every transfer's a gamble in a way though, you never know for sure if a player's gonna settle or if he'll break his leg in the first training session etc. While I personally don't rate Lovren, in the eyes of our scouting team he's someone who is at least starting quality - if you're picking up some no namer from some little town deep into Europe then he may be nowhere near ready. And hey, even if you trust your scouts, game time is an issue. Every time you play this theoretical gamble, someone is missing out. Do we drop Rickie or Jay to try out a promising Moldovan striker we picked up for peanuts? Do we let Morgan, Cork or Wanyama take a back seat to allow a nifty little Lithuanian get a game?