Ferrari and Perez case.
Massa closest to the confirmation (for a year). Sergio "raised" at home and then taken by McLaren. Why is that? Here are answers and scenarios.
Why Massa and Perez is not it? If they ask a lot these days but the team is preparing for the difficult double header Japan-Korea.
At the time of writing, on Sunday evening, there was no indication that she would have a decision on the imminent future mate Alonso. Indeed. The only voices from Maranello - in the strictly unofficial - are refuted by the decision are to a return of Michael Schumacher. Technically, the recent market shocks have not touched the Ferrari environment. Neither Schumacher nor Perez nor Hamilton were on the list. But this is precisely the question of many fans: If Sergio was a talent that Ferrari had grown "at home" with the Drivers Academy, as if it is never scared him away, leaving even he went to McLaren? Why, for the enthusiast, an account is a team any, another a team that is with Ferrari as Roma are at Lazio, and vice versa.
The answers are many. First of all, the Ferrari - like many others - was caught by surprise. It appears that the final offer was likely only Woking on Tuesday of last week, September 25. So on the way back from the trip to Singapore (but many drivers, including the Hamilton remained in the East). The negotiations were concluded on Thursday evening. But if the Ferrari he had been aware, he would have done something to stop his young talent? Probably not. From the contractual point of view, nothing prevents a polished FDA to get rid of the contract (to Sergio if extended until next year), if another team takes him for a role as a pilot officer. So Maranello had no clauses to be invoked, at most could make a counter-offer: it does not even try to have us. Also because the Ferrari is to point out that in the only comparison "direct" in car - September 16, 2011, at Fiorano with the F60 - Perez had been "beaten" by Jules Bianchi.
In short, Maranello has always believed in little Sergio Perez. That the frea other things, a "load" of sponsors is difficult to reconcile with the classical ones of the Horse. But there's more: there is, as always, the "hunt" that Ferrari is doing to Vettel. Sebastian is Alonso candidate to support in 2014. Anyone should present replace Massa, could only do so for a year. For this look, unfounded rumors about a new "return" of Kimi Raikkonen.
At this point there are three scenarios: the first is that Felipe also stays in 2013 (50% probability). In Ferrari does not sell the time he does a good result - his last podium was just in Korea, but two years ago - to "validate" your choice.
The second scenario (30%) calls into play the Force India. Jules Bianchi is available to Maranello, but it could be turned over to the team Vijay Mallya, just waiting for a "call" to give the card a race driver. Hulkenburg? Easier at the time, which is Di Resta (Mercedes is a driver, of course, but Perez was a pilot FDA).
The third scenario (20% probability) is what he sees, instead, rely directly on Bianchi Ferrari, with Massa shot maybe Sauber. Option considered by Maranello but difficult, because the Swiss need a pilot paid and unpaid, and also because it gives Jules currently not many guarantees more than Felipe. Let us never forget that the F2012 is still a single-mouthed, and that so far has been above all Alonso to mask the defects.