Election 2024
- Thread starter brb
- Start date
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If a bookie offers odds of 10/1, their potential
losses are the same whether 10000 people bet
a quid or one person has bet 10 grand.
So if 1000 people have bet a quid, how many extra
punters would need to appear with the same stake
to trigger the bookies to halve the odds to 5/1 ??
In a market like that, probably not many. There’s probably a low max stake online just in case there is some sort of edge they’ve missed. Try and stick a wad on in a shop and they’d call head office who might take the view you’re a mug and they’ll risk taking it.
Net migration down and asylum seekers down.
Britain thinks net migration is rising — when it has actually fallen by more than three-quarters - British Future
Findings from British Future’s annual Immigration Attitudes Tracker reveal the extent of public misperceptions on net migration.
www.britishfuture.org
UK net migration drops to 171,000 in 2025, lowest since 2012 excluding pandemic - follow live
The figure, showing the difference between the number of people arriving and those leaving the country, reached a peak of 944,000 in the year to March 2023 - but has been falling since.
www.bbc.co.uk
Net migration down and asylum seekers down.
Britain thinks net migration is rising — when it has actually fallen by more than three-quarters - British Future
Findings from British Future’s annual Immigration Attitudes Tracker reveal the extent of public misperceptions on net migration.www.britishfuture.org
Cutting through the noise the Labour Party has been good on migration.
This is why I'm convinced Burnham can win an election, they've actually not given him a bad base to work from - he'll change the entire narrative, introduce legislation to force cheaper electricity and gas prices and ride a wave.
He's also good at grassroots campaigning, which Starmer, god bless him, just absolutely isnt
Good numbers obviously. Begs the question where they’ve gone. Moved into other state-funded accommodation? Deported? Approved to stay and doing their own thing? Pursuing the engineering career they sought all along?
Military Barracks such as Crowborough and HMOs - they've been dispersed.
I think there is information on the government website where they've all gone to - might take a look later.
1. The chart renders ok in my browser
(to Dec 2025) , so blame the ONS
(I do note that their website appears
to be constructed by design to prevent
easy copy of the image of the chart) ,
2. The "oh dear" is 800000 immigrants
have entered the UK over the last
measured year.
I’m agreeing that on the face of it that is a bad statistic. But it’s also kind of pointless on its own. A French banker or nice Chinese student is part of that as is one of Sucky’s Somalian rapists.
If boat crossings are down, net migration is down etc. along with unspectacular but decent growth and inflation numbers it suggests the boring but better government we wanted. None of this stuff was meant to be perfected overnight.
You appear to have issues with the chart taken
from the ONS report released today on their website.
What in particular concerns you ??
The following hotels are the ones that closed, the general narrative on a random sample was as per the initial narrative that I put up which constantly say Crowborough Barracks, but that only holds 350 migrants ffs. HMO's has no specific list that I've seen for them. I have again seen a constant narrative of them with the wording 'no choice accomodation' and 'scales up the use of large sites', whatever that means.
The following hotels have now closed, with more to follow soon:
The following hotels have now closed, with more to follow soon:
- Banbury House Hotel – Banbury, Oxfordshire
- Marine Court Hotel – Bangor, Ards and North Down
- 15 Citrus Hotel – Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
- Holiday Inn Heathrow – Hillingdon, London
- Britannia Hotel – Wolverhampton
- Madeley Court Hotel – Madeley, Telford & Wrekin
- OYO Lakeside – St Helens, Merseyside
- Crewe Arms Hotel – Crewe, Cheshire East
- Sure Hotel by Best Western – Aberdeen
- The Rock Hotel – Halifax, Calderdale
- Wool Merchant Hotel – Halifax, Calderdale
i have no issues with the chart i just ointed out the 800000 figure you quoted is a provisianal estimate hence that part of the line is dotted .
Both lines are dotted.
Do you believe the extrapolations are
over/under estimates (and if so, by how
much and for which lines) ??
Expect everyone put in the Britannia in Wolverhampton begged to be deported. Stayed at the Birmingham one once when there was no other option and I think I’d have been better off sleeping rough or just being in a casino all night.