I don't necessarily agree with that supposition. 4-3-3 should be fine with Woltemade as the forward, we just need to play it differently.
The last 3 seasons, we have been up at the top of the charts for possession won in the opponents 3rd. This season we are down at the bottom of the list for this. It would indicate that we are looking for more control in matches rather than the intense press for, I suspect, 3 reasons:
- The massive injury crisis in the last Champions League season
- Woltemade does not have the pace to press from the front as effectively as Isak
- More teams are going to sit in low blocks against us so there's a desire to hold possession and draw them out
If we are looking for a controlled game then Woltemade dropping deep is successful if our wingers and midfielders overlap him, either for a 1st time flick or so he has someone ahead of him when he looks up after holding the ball up. The full backs should support this by reinforcing the midfield (Tino) or keeping the width high up the pitch to stretch defenses (Hall). This crude diagram should show what I mean:
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Yellow for ball movement
Blue for player movement
I've used Miley in the 6 as I think Tonali could be utilised bombing forward in the 8 as he does for Italy. We could use Ramsey, Joelinton or, if needs must, Willock in the 8 to keep Tonali in the 6 (Almost forgot what it was like to have a squad)
Disclaimer: I am in no way a tactical expert, this is all opinion and dotted lines
I’ll debunk this with one word: opposition.
The problem with anything in our formation is Woltemade is the only creative outlet we have, everyone else is a straight line runner. When the opposition set up deeper, as they frequently do, and let us just have the ball there’s sod all we do with it. We have industrious midfielders, counter attacking wingers, which in possession makes us kinda useless. This has been compounded by a complete lack of support from full backs as Burn, Trips and Krafth are more or less plain crap. When you get a lot of posssession you need a bit of magic and our tired formation shunts the spark of Woltemade right up top with no direct support from, say, a 10 and no wide threat from attacking full backs as we should theoretically be able to overload.
What has been happening is Burn in particular is being asked to push up into support leaving gaping holes as he’s fairly crap at anything in attack including heading, bizarrely. Where we have had success is as you rightly say runners off Nick but this could be done with a second striker, or a 10 near him. In eddies tried and tested 433 he’s very isolated, the team push up ponderously slowly and eventually we lose the ball.
You could argue Nick can drop with players off him, but Murphy doesn’t play that way and Gordon has Burn behind him, a huge issue. Joelinton is transitioning into MMA so also losing his way and we’re left with - as usual - industry rather than quality. 3 CBs has, under Howe, been even worse than 433 again because Burn is easy to target, we end up with straight line runners on the touchline in a dreadfully un-creative 541. The solution for me is to get into a 532 or a 4231, anything to give Nick something central to work off. 532 would actually be worth exploring but again our transfer pollicy has restricted us to just buying the same type of players we already have, which in turn makes us incredibly predictable.
