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Monday 1st November Daily Thread

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by redcgull, Nov 21, 2011.

  1. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Todays meetings come to us as far away as Kempton, Ludlow and Ffos Las...

    Good morning to all... Well what can we say on this bleak on almost wintery day after this weekends sporting moments... Just the two words really... Kauto Star...!!!

    Im sure we will all be posting some sort of adulation as the day goes by, but for now i will strt the days thread for us all to post on... Good luck to all today...<ok>


    Cheers...<cheers>
     
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  2. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Very impressive card at Kempton Park today and a very important one for me as it sees the fencing bow of Mr Henderson&#8217;s Mossley. I really think the world of this one and my regular readers may recall that after his Grade 2 hurdles win at Cheltenham, last December, I predicted that he would win the 2013 CGC. And I have seen little since to alter that view.

    It&#8217;s a terrible cliché but whatever this one did over hurdles was always going to be a bonus as chasings his game a point that can be bourn out by the fact that Mossley was competing in the Irish pointing field as early as his 4YO year. The fact that he was a Grade 2 winner and also finished runner up in the Championship 3 mile novice race at Cheltenham bodes excellently for his future which appears very, and I do mean very, bright.

    At 2/9 though Mossley is not a bet for me as I think anyone who takes a short price in any novice chase should immediately be certified. Watch it with interest though, people. Providing his jumping holds and as long as the Gerraghty boy doesn&#8217;t steer him onto the old polytrack then Mossley should begin his chasing term with an easy win.

    In fact Mr Henderson should have a very good day at Kempton as he also has some other &#8216;nice &#8216;uns&#8217; entered at the meet.
     
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  3. Zenyatta

    Zenyatta Active Member

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    Does anybody else think it is worth taking on Chablais in the 2m Novice Chase. Escort'men has always promised to be very smart, and was talked off as a potential Champion Hurdler at one time. He has clearly had his problems but I just thought that he might be able to beat Chablais over 2m today. The Henderson horse has always looked a stayer in the making and was only a length or so ahead of Sybarite in his Novice Hurdle, a horse that has been made to look decidedly one paced since. He might well bolt up but thought with today's conditions seemingly more in favour of Escort'men, Chablais might be worth opposing.

    On the flipside, Darlan and Mossley look formalities in their respective races.

    Any thoughts?
     
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  4. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Zen, in racing we see many upsets and you may be onto something. I wouldn't be taking short prices about novices.
     
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  5. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Zen - Escort'Men is the bet in that race at 11/8 - I fancy him to beat Chablais. Loved his chasing debut and Nicholls said all his needed the run at the time. He has better form than Chablais at the moment. Chablais obviously could be anything and whilst it was impressive when he won here on only his 2nd start that form is nothing special
     
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  6. Zenyatta

    Zenyatta Active Member

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    That is the other thing RV. Escort'men has the better hurdles form, and all over today's trip. Chablais is clearly promising but looks like he will want further and needs to step up on what he has shown already. Also, a huge positive having Ruby Walsh on side in such a race. A great tactician in these small field affairs. It's possible to argue that the prices should be the other way round I suppose. I do know that Chablais is well thought of though. Sure to be interesting.
     
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  7. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Looks like a few of us are singing from the same hymn sheet today as i aslo think that Escort'men has a chance against Chablais...

    Looks like the forum has spoken and we shall see later if we called it right...<ok>
     
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  8. Ive got a bit of a thing going on the Bet 365 4/1+ races at the moment which has resulted in me turning to selective betting on these races only and at the same time to enusre i meet the Bet 365 criteria looking for a bit of value at odds of at least 4/1. Todays race are the 2.35 Kempton and the 3.00 Ffos Las.

    In the 2.35 i like PHARE ISLE, who with his useful 7lb claimer runs off a rating of which is only a 1lb higher than his win over hurdles. Recently he has attempted chasing but doesnt seem too confident and returns to hurdles again today after his first run out this season resulted in a him making up the numbers but showing enough to suggest that he could be involved today when running on two out over 2m 4f and the extra 4f today may be far enough for him to get competitive, add to all of this that the stable is 2 wins and 1 place from 6 over the last 14 days. And we have nice EW bet at 16/1.

    In the 3.00 over at Ffos Las WAR OF THE WORLD interestingly Tim Vaughan has two runners here today, however, my selection showed signs of returning to his best after a lengthy break when a distant 5th in Class 1, Grade 2 Company and takes a significant drop in grade today and is very well handicapped and at odds of 7/1 is another attractive EW proposition.

    Good luck to all who play today <ok>
     
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  9. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    60/1 accum (paddy power)

    Darlan 12.30 Kempton

    Top Of The Range 12.50 ffos Las

    Owen Glendower 1.10 Ludlow

    Violin Davis 1.30 Kempton

    Foxbridge 1.45 Ludlow

    Mossley 2.05 Kempton

    Midnight Appeal 3.10 Kempton


    Decent single bet on ESCORT'MEN 1.00 Kempton
     
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  10. TopClass

    TopClass Well-Known Member

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    This might get taken down soon but please enjoy it. Absolute goosebumps at the final couple of fences as Simon Holt gets more and more animated

    [video=youtube;2r06ndMqqVQ]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2r06ndMqqVQ[/video]
     
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  11. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Topclass cheers mate - been looking for the ch4 replay all over <ok> watched ruk replay few times not the same without Holt <laugh>
     
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  12. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    I also think 16/1 is a big price on Phare Isle in the 2.35 at Kempton

    However, my preference is for Spanish Cruise at 11/1, also e/w <ok>
     
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  13. Cheers Toppy, that sporting memory will live on well beyond any of us. Absolutely fantastic televison :)
     
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  14. Dexter

    Dexter Well-Known Member

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    Hello lads.

    Nothing takes my eye today but am keen to canvas the opinion of Non 606'ers on the FHM sexiest filly (or mare,no ageism please) for 2012.

    Always a tricky betting heat this,with many of us having very diverse tastes when it comes to the old crumpet.Latest betting on the favourites;

    5/2 Rosie Huntingdon Whitely - Bit on the leg but a good mover and well bred.
    5/2 Pippa Middleton - Well related sort.
    6/1 Rihanna - Powerful filly with lovely big back wheels.
    6/1 Mila Kunis - Nice looking Russian bred with great stud potential.
    9/1 Kate Middleton - Classy mare already in foal.
    12/1 Cheryl Cole - Not fashionably bred but has a lovely confirmation.
    12/1 Nicole Scherzinger - Quirky and tempremental type but very talented.


    Any thoughts where the value lies?
     
    #14
  15. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Dex <rofl> as if Pippa Middleton is 5/2 she is a grot with a nice arse. Nicole and Cheryl at 12s - this comp is **** evens nicole 11/10 cheryl lol
     
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  16. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Escort'men falls early on
     
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  17. TopClass

    TopClass Well-Known Member

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    #17
  18. Dexter

    Dexter Well-Known Member

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    <laugh> RV...they are actually Paddy Power odds!!

    Agree Pippa M is nothing special and probobly wears padded pants to complete her roundy butt look.
     
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  19. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

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    Is it my imagination, or has Hendo got off to a blazing new season? Seems his winner won't stop today. It seem that anything he throws a saddle on has a chance.

    PS Kauto has a massive neck on him.
     
    #19
  20. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Haven't had a chance to study the form but my initial thought is to lay the lot.
     
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