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Transfer Rumours Summer 2022 Transfer Window

Discussion in 'Southampton' started by StJabbo1, Mar 27, 2022.

  1. Che’s Godlike Thighs

    Che’s Godlike Thighs Well-Known Member

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    If we’re gonna loan him out, at least it should be to a Championship club. Sending him to Turkey, the culture shock and language barrier could be very difficult to adjust to. After the year he’s had dealing with illness and injuries, I can’t say I like the sound of this.

    Not to mention that Turkish Lig 2 or whatever it’s called is likely going to be a fairly crappy standard.
     
    #2621
  2. Osvaldorama

    Osvaldorama Well-Known Member

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    Sad that we can’t compete with West Ham now tbh.

    We clearly wanted broja a lot
     
    #2622
  3. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    What has happened here is some classic 2+2=5 where people know there are links to the Turkish club and looking at our fringe players / those available for loan and voila.

    It is why there have been rumours of Lis, Lyanco, Valery and Smallbone going. I think even Djenepo too
     
    #2623
  4. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    What us clearly wanting him a lot based on?
     
    #2624
    Dark Lord SFC likes this.
  5. ElliotMP

    ElliotMP Well-Known Member

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    Is it? A team based in London, with a 60,000 seater stadium and new investors into the club.
     
    #2625
  6. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    A taxpayer funded 60,000 seater stadium that they would never have been able to afford on their own backs …
     
    #2626
    Osvaldorama and BackFromBeyond like this.
  7. Che’s Godlike Thighs

    Che’s Godlike Thighs Well-Known Member

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    Hope so.
     
    #2627
  8. ElliotMP

    ElliotMP Well-Known Member

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    I
    True, but they would probably have built themselves a new stadium by now anyway. West Ham have room for growth etc mainly because of their location. Sadly we don't have that luxury.
     
    #2628
  9. timatoketchup

    timatoketchup Well-Known Member

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    Apparently, we can't compete with any other EPL club.
     
    #2629
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  10. Osvaldorama

    Osvaldorama Well-Known Member

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    Ralph said it very clearly
     
    #2630

  11. Saintmagic

    Saintmagic Well-Known Member

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    I don’t think it’s that we can’t, we have spent roughly £50m already so obviously if we wanted to spend £30m on Broja we could have done and not signed other players.

    I think it’s more that we have so many holes that we can’t just put £30m towards one player.
     
    #2631
  12. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    It would have cost them an absolute fortune though and hampered their spending. It is discussed about how they are much happier to blow massive fees on players that really don’t work out (Haller and Andersen come to mind - circa 90m combined). I doubt that would have quite been the case if they had built their own stadium
     
    #2632
  13. ChilcoSaint

    ChilcoSaint What a disgrace
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  14. RSS

    RSS Well-Known Member

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    West Ham don't even pay for the running costs for operating on matchdays do they? The stadium situation is undoubtedly a big financial advantage for them and they threw cash around before that anyway. If you are looking to compete further up the table then £30m is a pretty standard price. Sure with Broja you're paying a lot for potential, but what did they spend on Haller? £40/50m something like that. He was 'proven' and didn't work out so I don't think £30m on Broja is that much of a risk for them financially even if he doesn't push on and live up to his potential.
     
    #2634
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  15. Osvaldorama

    Osvaldorama Well-Known Member

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    Yep. It’s insane, but £20-30m is unfortunately the price of an average/good premier league player now.
     
    #2635
  16. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    There is a surprisingly level headed post over on Saintsweb about some of the 25m+ signings in recent years from outside of the top 6. It might be cherry picked but it is actually quite grim reading. There are very few that are unqualified successes. I think the two picked out specifically are Jiminez and Tielemans - both had a loan before hand. And there is something fishy going on with Wolves and their transfer arrangements anyway.

    It is a little like this idea that people seem to have about how many players are on 100k / week or more. Outside of the Top 6 it really isn't as many as you would think if the data that is out there is true. And even with some of the top 6.

    So when people on twitter were claiming that West Ham would "comfortably" offer Broja at least 150k a week (making him their highest paid player and one of only 3 or 4 on more than 100k a week) or that Spurs would give JWP a massive payrise (when we are paying him similar to what they are paying Hoj) you know that they have had their views distorted by the Manchester clubs, Chelsea and Liverpool

    Edit: The 31m+ signings are kind of 50:50 although some are quite recent so jury is kind of still out. Transfermarkt top signings stopped at 31m. I think it is when the 25m get included that the "hit" rate could well go down as you get people like Brewster

    Haller (West Ham) - 45.00m

    Sigurdsson (Everton) - 44.46m

    Tielemans (Leicester) - 40.50m

    Joelinton (Newcastle) - 39.60m

    Bruno (Newcastle) - 37.89m

    Fabio Silva (Wolves) - 36.00m

    Richarlison (Everton) - 35.28m

    Buendia (Aston Villa) - 34.56m

    Jiminez (Wolves) - 34.20m

    Anderson (West Ham) - 34.20m

    Lukaku (Everton) - 31.82m

    Aguerd (West Ham) - 31.50m

    Zouma (West Ham) - 31.50m

    Fofana (Leicester) - 31.50m

    14 in there. I'd say 4 unqualified successes (Lukaku, Richarlison, Jiminez and Tielmans). Two of those based on successful loans

    2 likely to be considered successes - Zouma and Fofana (injury considered). Bruno looks like he will be.

    At least 5 in there where if we spent that and got that return it would be at least a massive let down and at worst a disaster
     
    #2636
    Last edited: Jul 18, 2022
  17. saintrichie123

    saintrichie123 Well-Known Member

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  18. Saintmagic

    Saintmagic Well-Known Member

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    A fair comparison that I can’t be bothered to do would be to look at the 20-30m, 10-20m, and 0-10m range and see what the hit ratio is like there

    If it’s way less than the 50:50 you have alluded to by the time you hit 0-10m then it still shows spending more gives you more chance of success

    There are other factors aswell of course that are hard to capture. If, say, Sigurdson had only cost £10m he would probably be considered a success relative to his cost
     
    #2638
  19. Gregm1988

    Gregm1988 Well-Known Member

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    I’m not so sure since the complaint seems very much to be that we are unwilling or unable to operate in the 30m+ bracket (or 25m+ depending on who is commenting).

    Demonstrating a sketchy hit rate at what would be a real push for us does have it’s value. Because if the argument is that we a suffering for not doing so then it needs to be more of a sure thing than the above would suggest

    I’m not sure I follow what you are saying with the last paragraph. Few would argue that we should be all over broja for a quarter of the rumoured price. But that isn’t the price
     
    #2639
  20. Saintmagic

    Saintmagic Well-Known Member

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    Well it supports the argument that we should spend more if the 50:50 hit ratio drops to like 1:10 ratio at the lower spend levels.

    The last paragraph is that signings are subjective, and one of the big factors seems to be price. Not too many of those on your list would be considered complete flops from just a footballing angle. It’s only when you factor in the cost, who they possibly could’ve bought with that money etc
     
    #2640

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